Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices under 8,000 US flight delays on March 25 at 98.6%, driven by favorable weather forecasts showing mild conditions across major hubs without anticipated snowstorms or severe turbulence, following a winter season of elevated disruptions that has subsided. Bureau of Transportation Statistics data indicates recent daily averages below 7,500 delays amid improved FAA air traffic control staffing and fewer system outages, aligning with historical spring patterns where delays rarely exceed 8,000 absent extraordinary events. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-March weather shifts, sudden NOTAM failures, or cascading issues from mechanical groundings at high-volume airports like Atlanta or Dallas, though such catalysts remain low-probability based on current National Weather Service outlooks and FAA operational reports.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado<8000 98.6%
>11000 <1%
8500-9000 <1%
10500-11000 <1%
$14,404 Vol.
$14,404 Vol.
<8000
99%
8000-8500
1%
8500-9000
1%
9000-9500
1%
9500-10000
1%
10000-10500
1%
10500-11000
1%
>11000
1%
<8000 98.6%
>11000 <1%
8500-9000 <1%
10500-11000 <1%
$14,404 Vol.
$14,404 Vol.
<8000
99%
8000-8500
1%
8500-9000
1%
9000-9500
1%
9500-10000
1%
10000-10500
1%
10500-11000
1%
>11000
1%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices under 8,000 US flight delays on March 25 at 98.6%, driven by favorable weather forecasts showing mild conditions across major hubs without anticipated snowstorms or severe turbulence, following a winter season of elevated disruptions that has subsided. Bureau of Transportation Statistics data indicates recent daily averages below 7,500 delays amid improved FAA air traffic control staffing and fewer system outages, aligning with historical spring patterns where delays rarely exceed 8,000 absent extraordinary events. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-March weather shifts, sudden NOTAM failures, or cascading issues from mechanical groundings at high-volume airports like Atlanta or Dallas, though such catalysts remain low-probability based on current National Weather Service outlooks and FAA operational reports.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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