Market icon

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?

Market icon

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?

4 35%

7+ 29%

0 19%

3 16%

Polymarket

$11,979 Vol.

4 35%

7+ 29%

0 19%

3 16%

Polymarket

$11,979 Vol.

0

$0 Vol.

19%

1

$4 Vol.

14%

2

$62 Vol.

14%

3

$0 Vol.

16%

4

$5,973 Vol.

35%

5

$0 Vol.

16%

6

$0 Vol.

16%

7+

$5,940 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President. Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Republican majorities in the House and Senate—53-47 in the upper chamber—have produced a deliberate legislative pace early in the 119th Congress's second session, favoring President Trump's 26 executive orders in 2026 over bills, as evidenced by March 13 actions on housing affordability bypassing stalled congressional efforts. Trader consensus reflects this caution, with 4 pieces signed at 33% amid narrow margins vulnerable to holdouts and midterm pressures, keeping outcomes like 0 (20.5%) and 7+ (24%) competitive. DHS funding negotiations and housing legislation remain gridlocked ahead of recesses around March 30-April 10, but floor votes on continuing resolutions, border security bills, or appropriations could accelerate signings later in April, potentially tipping probabilities.

Republican majorities in the House and Senate—53-47 in the upper chamber—have produced a deliberate legislative pace early in the 119th Congress's second session, favoring President Trump's 26 executive orders in 2026 over bills, as evidenced by March 13 actions on housing affordability bypassing stalled congressional efforts. Trader consensus reflects this caution, with 4 pieces signed at 33% amid narrow margins vulnerable to holdouts and midterm pressures, keeping outcomes like 0 (20.5%) and 7+ (24%) competitive. DHS funding negotiations and housing legislation remain gridlocked ahead of recesses around March 30-April 10, but floor votes on continuing resolutions, border security bills, or appropriations could accelerate signings later in April, potentially tipping probabilities.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President. Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Republican majorities in the House and Senate—53-47 in the upper chamber—have produced a deliberate legislative pace early in the 119th Congress's second session, favoring President Trump's 26 executive orders in 2026 over bills, as evidenced by March 13 actions on housing affordability bypassing stalled congressional efforts. Trader consensus reflects this caution, with 4 pieces signed at 33% amid narrow margins vulnerable to holdouts and midterm pressures, keeping outcomes like 0 (20.5%) and 7+ (24%) competitive. DHS funding negotiations and housing legislation remain gridlocked ahead of recesses around March 30-April 10, but floor votes on continuing resolutions, border security bills, or appropriations could accelerate signings later in April, potentially tipping probabilities.

Republican majorities in the House and Senate—53-47 in the upper chamber—have produced a deliberate legislative pace early in the 119th Congress's second session, favoring President Trump's 26 executive orders in 2026 over bills, as evidenced by March 13 actions on housing affordability bypassing stalled congressional efforts. Trader consensus reflects this caution, with 4 pieces signed at 33% amid narrow margins vulnerable to holdouts and midterm pressures, keeping outcomes like 0 (20.5%) and 7+ (24%) competitive. DHS funding negotiations and housing legislation remain gridlocked ahead of recesses around March 30-April 10, but floor votes on continuing resolutions, border security bills, or appropriations could accelerate signings later in April, potentially tipping probabilities.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4" at 35%, followed by "7+" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?" has generated $12K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?" is "4" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "7+" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.