Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors President Trump signing exactly four pieces of legislation into law during March 2026 at 57.5%, reflecting GovTrack.us confirmation of four bills enacted that month—primarily ceremonial measures awarding Medals of Honor (H.R. 7211, H.R. 7194, H.R. 3377) and an honorary promotion (S. 4138), signed on March 20 and 26. This low output stems from a prolonged Department of Homeland Security funding impasse and shutdown, limiting floor votes on major bills, compounded by Trump's March 9 declaration refusing to sign further legislation until passage of a revised SAVE America Act. With March concluded and no additional signings reported by April 4, probabilities for five (18.3%) or six (2.5%) pieces remain slim absent late corrections to official tallies.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado5 3.5%
6 3.4%
4 0
$26,131 Vol.
$26,131 Vol.
31 mar 2026
4
56%
5
13%
6
3%
5 3.5%
6 3.4%
4 0
$26,131 Vol.
$26,131 Vol.
31 mar 2026
4
$1,815 Vol.
56%
5
$3,973 Vol.
13%
6
$2,148 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors President Trump signing exactly four pieces of legislation into law during March 2026 at 57.5%, reflecting GovTrack.us confirmation of four bills enacted that month—primarily ceremonial measures awarding Medals of Honor (H.R. 7211, H.R. 7194, H.R. 3377) and an honorary promotion (S. 4138), signed on March 20 and 26. This low output stems from a prolonged Department of Homeland Security funding impasse and shutdown, limiting floor votes on major bills, compounded by Trump's March 9 declaration refusing to sign further legislation until passage of a revised SAVE America Act. With March concluded and no additional signings reported by April 4, probabilities for five (18.3%) or six (2.5%) pieces remain slim absent late corrections to official tallies.
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
Volume
$26,131Data de Término
31 mar 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors President Trump signing exactly four pieces of legislation into law during March 2026 at 57.5%, reflecting GovTrack.us confirmation of four bills enacted that month—primarily ceremonial measures awarding Medals of Honor (H.R. 7211, H.R. 7194, H.R. 3377) and an honorary promotion (S. 4138), signed on March 20 and 26. This low output stems from a prolonged Department of Homeland Security funding impasse and shutdown, limiting floor votes on major bills, compounded by Trump's March 9 declaration refusing to sign further legislation until passage of a revised SAVE America Act. With March concluded and no additional signings reported by April 4, probabilities for five (18.3%) or six (2.5%) pieces remain slim absent late corrections to official tallies.
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$26,131Data de Término
31 mar 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors President Trump signing exactly four pieces of legislation into law during March 2026 at 57.5%, reflecting GovTrack.us confirmation of four bills enacted that month—primarily ceremonial measures awarding Medals of Honor (H.R. 7211, H.R. 7194, H.R. 3377) and an honorary promotion (S. 4138), signed on March 20 and 26. This low output stems from a prolonged Department of Homeland Security funding impasse and shutdown, limiting floor votes on major bills, compounded by Trump's March 9 declaration refusing to sign further legislation until passage of a revised SAVE America Act. With March concluded and no additional signings reported by April 4, probabilities for five (18.3%) or six (2.5%) pieces remain slim absent late corrections to official tallies.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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