Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout clusters tightly around 110-125 million votes, mirroring recent cycles like 2022's 111 million and 2018's 118 million, as voter enthusiasm remains uncertain amid President Trump's middling approval ratings and a slight Democratic edge in generic congressional ballot polls. Recent primary turnout in North Carolina and other early states showed modest participation despite Republican registration gains, providing mixed signals on mobilization without a clear catalyst to separate outcomes. Battleground district competitiveness and off-year voting patterns keep the race balanced, with potential separation from summer primaries, economic shifts, or party turnout operations that could elevate totals above 125 million or depress them below 110 million.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado130 milhões+ 28%
125-130 milhões 27%
110-115 milhões 17%
115-120 milhões 16%
<85 milhões
<1%
85-90 milhões
<1%
90-95 milhões
1%
95-100 milhões
4%
100-105 milhões
1%
105-110 milhões
7%
110-115 milhões
17%
115-120 milhões
16%
120-125 milhões
19%
125-130 milhões
27%
130 milhões+
28%
130 milhões+ 28%
125-130 milhões 27%
110-115 milhões 17%
115-120 milhões 16%
<85 milhões
<1%
85-90 milhões
<1%
90-95 milhões
1%
95-100 milhões
4%
100-105 milhões
1%
105-110 milhões
7%
110-115 milhões
17%
115-120 milhões
16%
120-125 milhões
19%
125-130 milhões
27%
130 milhões+
28%
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout clusters tightly around 110-125 million votes, mirroring recent cycles like 2022's 111 million and 2018's 118 million, as voter enthusiasm remains uncertain amid President Trump's middling approval ratings and a slight Democratic edge in generic congressional ballot polls. Recent primary turnout in North Carolina and other early states showed modest participation despite Republican registration gains, providing mixed signals on mobilization without a clear catalyst to separate outcomes. Battleground district competitiveness and off-year voting patterns keep the race balanced, with potential separation from summer primaries, economic shifts, or party turnout operations that could elevate totals above 125 million or depress them below 110 million.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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