Trader consensus clusters around 115-125 million votes in the 2026 House popular vote, reflecting elevated early primary turnout that exceeded 2022 midterm benchmarks—such as North Carolina's record early voting surpassing both its 2022 primary and 2024 presidential primary, alongside strong Latino participation in South Texas. This signals potential for 2018-level enthusiasm (118 million votes) driven by anti-incumbent mobilization under President Trump's administration, amid the historical midterm loss rule for the president's party. Tight generic ballot polls, with Democrats leading narrowly (e.g., Cygnal D+5.5%, YouGov showing GOP gains), underscore uncertainty from economic pressures, approval ratings, and registration edges in swing states. Further primaries, special elections, and turnout indicators could widen separations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado120-125 milhões 22%
115-120 milhões 16%
110-115 milhões 11%
125-130 milhões 10%
<85 milhões
7%
85-90 milhões
6%
90-95 milhões
2%
95-100 milhões
2%
100-105 milhões
3%
105-110 milhões
5%
110-115 milhões
11%
115-120 milhões
16%
120-125 milhões
22%
125-130 milhões
24%
130 milhões+
19%
120-125 milhões 22%
115-120 milhões 16%
110-115 milhões 11%
125-130 milhões 10%
<85 milhões
7%
85-90 milhões
6%
90-95 milhões
2%
95-100 milhões
2%
100-105 milhões
3%
105-110 milhões
5%
110-115 milhões
11%
115-120 milhões
16%
120-125 milhões
22%
125-130 milhões
24%
130 milhões+
19%
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 115-125 million votes in the 2026 House popular vote, reflecting elevated early primary turnout that exceeded 2022 midterm benchmarks—such as North Carolina's record early voting surpassing both its 2022 primary and 2024 presidential primary, alongside strong Latino participation in South Texas. This signals potential for 2018-level enthusiasm (118 million votes) driven by anti-incumbent mobilization under President Trump's administration, amid the historical midterm loss rule for the president's party. Tight generic ballot polls, with Democrats leading narrowly (e.g., Cygnal D+5.5%, YouGov showing GOP gains), underscore uncertainty from economic pressures, approval ratings, and registration edges in swing states. Further primaries, special elections, and turnout indicators could widen separations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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