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Política·Roménia

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Política·Roménia

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Alexandru Nazare 53.8%

Sorin Grindeanu 13.5%

Ilie Bolojan 4.3%

Siegfried Mureșan 4.2%

Polymarket

$3,124,740 Vol.

Alexandru Nazare 53.8%

Sorin Grindeanu 13.5%

Ilie Bolojan 4.3%

Siegfried Mureșan 4.2%

Polymarket

$3,124,740 Vol.

icon for Alexandru Nazare

Alexandru Nazare

$173,261 Vol.

54%

icon for Sorin Grindeanu

Sorin Grindeanu

$401,764 Vol.

14%

icon for Ilie Bolojan

Ilie Bolojan

$164,002 Vol.

4%

icon for Siegfried Mureșan

Siegfried Mureșan

$9,775 Vol.

4%

icon for Cătălin Predoiu

Cătălin Predoiu

$144,979 Vol.

3%

icon for Dan Motreanu

Dan Motreanu

$75,011 Vol.

3%

icon for Dragoș Pîslaru

Dragoș Pîslaru

$72,562 Vol.

2%

icon for George Simion

George Simion

$54,516 Vol.

2%

icon for Radu Burnete

Radu Burnete

$95,362 Vol.

2%

icon for Delia Velculescu

Delia Velculescu

$105,423 Vol.

2%

icon for Traian Băsescu

Traian Băsescu

$54,662 Vol.

1%

icon for Adrian Veștea

Adrian Veștea

$194,600 Vol.

1%

icon for Ionuț Dumitru

Ionuț Dumitru

$68,934 Vol.

1%

icon for Eugen Tomac

Eugen Tomac

$254,983 Vol.

1%

icon for Lucian Croitoru

Lucian Croitoru

$45,203 Vol.

1%

icon for Hunor Kelemen

Hunor Kelemen

$81,643 Vol.

1%

icon for Alexandru Rogobete

Alexandru Rogobete

$48,807 Vol.

1%

icon for Victor Ponta

Victor Ponta

$56,416 Vol.

1%

icon for Anca Dragu

Anca Dragu

$67,664 Vol.

<1%

icon for Calin Georgescu

Calin Georgescu

$56,335 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cătălin Drulă

Cătălin Drulă

$51,906 Vol.

<1%

icon for Raluca Turcan

Raluca Turcan

$45,163 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vasile Dîncu

Vasile Dîncu

$55,513 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dominic Fritz

Dominic Fritz

$51,629 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mugur Isărescu

Mugur Isărescu

$47,129 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lucian Isar

Lucian Isar

$57,294 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alexandru Rafila

Alexandru Rafila

$53,283 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sebastian Burduja

Sebastian Burduja

$63,574 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elena Lasconi

Elena Lasconi

$71,260 Vol.

<1%

icon for Șerban Matei

Șerban Matei

$69,936 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ciprian Ciucu

Ciprian Ciucu

$45,506 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mircea Geoană

Mircea Geoană

$51,273 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcel Ciolacu

Marcel Ciolacu

$60,792 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dacian Cioloș

Dacian Cioloș

$63,076 Vol.

<1%

icon for Emil Boc

Emil Boc

$53,735 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicolae Ciucă

Nicolae Ciucă

$57,768 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's ongoing political crisis following the May 2026 no-confidence vote that ended Ilie Bolojan's grand coalition has left parliament fragmented, with pro-European parties lacking a clear majority and negotiations ongoing among PNL, PSD, USR, UDMR, and others. President Nicușor Dan's June 14 nomination of Adrian Veștea as prime minister-designate has positioned him as the frontrunner, though Veștea faces resistance from his own PNL and must build cross-party support, including potential technocrats or dissidents, within the 10-day window for a confidence vote. Alexandru Nazare, the sitting finance minister central to fiscal reforms, emerges as a close alternative amid speculation over cabinet continuity. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, as multiple viable paths to a parliamentary majority remain open depending on upcoming party consultations and any procedural challenges.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,124,740
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's ongoing political crisis following the May 2026 no-confidence vote that ended Ilie Bolojan's grand coalition has left parliament fragmented, with pro-European parties lacking a clear majority and negotiations ongoing among PNL, PSD, USR, UDMR, and others. President Nicușor Dan's June 14 nomination of Adrian Veștea as prime minister-designate has positioned him as the frontrunner, though Veștea faces resistance from his own PNL and must build cross-party support, including potential technocrats or dissidents, within the 10-day window for a confidence vote. Alexandru Nazare, the sitting finance minister central to fiscal reforms, emerges as a close alternative amid speculation over cabinet continuity. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, as multiple viable paths to a parliamentary majority remain open depending on upcoming party consultations and any procedural challenges.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,124,740
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Romania?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexandru Nazare" at 54%, followed by "Sorin Grindeanu" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" has generated $3.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on May 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Romania?," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" is "Alexandru Nazare" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sorin Grindeanu" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.