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Política·Primárias

Quem avançará das primárias do governador da Califórnia?

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Quem avançará das primárias do governador da Califórnia?

$427,378 Vol.

2 jun 2026
Polymarket

$427,378 Vol.

Polymarket

Eric Swalwell

$11,055 Vol.

67%

Steve Hilton

$31,452 Vol.

65%

Chad Bianco

$12,052 Vol.

35%

Tom Steyer

$17,911 Vol.

30%

Elaine Culotti

$0 Vol.

19%

Matt Mahan

$10,962 Vol.

16%

Katie Porter

$4,715 Vol.

20%

Xavier Becerra

$3,729 Vol.

7%

Betty Yee

$2,687 Vol.

6%

David Thelen

$750 Vol.

5%

Tony Thurmond

$1,035 Vol.

5%

Ethan Agarwal

$2,470 Vol.

5%

Sharifah Hardie

$0 Vol.

4%

Ché Ahn

$14,844 Vol.

4%

Jimmy Parker

$0 Vol.

3%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$11,477 Vol.

3%

Dylan Colbert

$13,305 Vol.

3%

Daniel Mercuri

$8,319 Vol.

3%

Nicki Minaj

$0 Vol.

3%

Derek Grasty

$1,039 Vol.

2%

Ryan Tillman

$1,313 Vol.

2%

Leo Zacky

$0 Vol.

2%

David Serpa

$3,833 Vol.

2%

Javen Allen

$0 Vol.

10%

Leonard Jackson

$0 Vol.

2%

Raji Rab

$0 Vol.

2%

Kyle Langford

$10,457 Vol.

2%

Carolina Buhler

$6,191 Vol.

2%

Nicholas Thompson

$6,631 Vol.

2%

Thunder Parley

$49,022 Vol.

2%

Butch Ware

$7,512 Vol.

2%

Zoltan Istvan

$11,336 Vol.

2%

Ramsey Robinson

$0 Vol.

1%

Brandon Jones

$33,473 Vol.

1%

Ian Calderon

$112,058 Vol.

1%

Sophia Brink

$37,751 Vol.

1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.California's top-two jungle primary for governor on June 2, 2026, features a crowded field of over 40 candidates, but recent late-March polls highlight Republicans Steve Hilton and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco consistently leading with 15-17% support each, ahead of Democrats Eric Swalwell, Katie Porter, and Tom Steyer at 10-14%. High undecided rates (20-25%) and Democratic vote fragmentation raise the possibility of both advancement slots going to Republicans in the deep-blue state, a rare scenario driving trader caution. Hilton's Silicon Valley ties and Bianco's law-and-order profile boost appeal among independents; upcoming debates, May 18 voter registration deadline, and early voting could consolidate support and alter polling trends.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$427,378
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.California's top-two jungle primary for governor on June 2, 2026, features a crowded field of over 40 candidates, but recent late-March polls highlight Republicans Steve Hilton and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco consistently leading with 15-17% support each, ahead of Democrats Eric Swalwell, Katie Porter, and Tom Steyer at 10-14%. High undecided rates (20-25%) and Democratic vote fragmentation raise the possibility of both advancement slots going to Republicans in the deep-blue state, a rare scenario driving trader caution. Hilton's Silicon Valley ties and Bianco's law-and-order profile boost appeal among independents; upcoming debates, May 18 voter registration deadline, and early voting could consolidate support and alter polling trends.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$427,378
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem avançará das primárias do governador da Califórnia?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Eric Swalwell" at 67%, followed by "Steve Hilton" at 65%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem avançará das primárias do governador da Califórnia?" has generated $427.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem avançará das primárias do governador da Califórnia?," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem avançará das primárias do governador da Califórnia?" is "Eric Swalwell" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Steve Hilton" at 65%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem avançará das primárias do governador da Califórnia?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.