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Política·Congresso

HR 22 (SAVE Act) assinado em lei em 2026?

Market icon
Política·Congresso

HR 22 (SAVE Act) assinado em lei em 2026?

Sim

12% acaso
Polymarket

$137,165 Vol.

Sim

12% acaso
Polymarket

$137,165 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.H.R. 22, the SAVE Act mandating documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House in April 2025 but remains stalled in the Senate with no committee action or floor vote over the past year, anchoring trader consensus at 88.5% against enactment in 2026. Democratic opposition, citing disenfranchisement risks, combined with filibuster hurdles and limited session time in the 119th Congress, dims prospects despite GOP priority status. Recent House passage of the updated SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296) in February 2026 signals continued momentum but advances a separate bill, while President Trump's executive order last week on citizenship verification provides an alternative executive path, further sidelining legislative urgency ahead of 2026 midterms.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$137,165
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.H.R. 22, the SAVE Act mandating documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House in April 2025 but remains stalled in the Senate with no committee action or floor vote over the past year, anchoring trader consensus at 88.5% against enactment in 2026. Democratic opposition, citing disenfranchisement risks, combined with filibuster hurdles and limited session time in the 119th Congress, dims prospects despite GOP priority status. Recent House passage of the updated SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296) in February 2026 signals continued momentum but advances a separate bill, while President Trump's executive order last week on citizenship verification provides an alternative executive path, further sidelining legislative urgency ahead of 2026 midterms.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$137,165
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"HR 22 (SAVE Act) assinado em lei em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) sancionada como lei em 2026?" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 12¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "HR 22 (SAVE Act) assinado em lei em 2026?" has generated $137.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "HR 22 (SAVE Act) assinado em lei em 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "HR 22 (SAVE Act) assinado em lei em 2026?" is "H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) sancionada como lei em 2026?" at 12%, meaning the market assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "HR 22 (SAVE Act) assinado em lei em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.