Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 65-89 tweets from April 4-6 at 37.5% implied probability, reflecting his verified 218 posts from March 27-April 3 (averaging 31 daily) amid a late-March slowdown to ~27 per day over March 28-30. This anchors expectations below peak volumes of 340+ in early March, with 90-114 (24.5%) viable if activity mirrors today's high-output burst—10+ posts by mid-morning ET on Starship timelines, Grok Imagine upgrades, and Neuralink milestones. Weekend dynamics and lighter news flow could temper volume, though Musk's real-time engagement with viral AI, space, and cultural debates sustains his signature posting cadence, per real-time trackers. Odds may shift with breaking Tesla or X platform announcements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado65-89 38%
90-114 25%
40-64 22%
115-139 13%
NOVO
$118,661 Vol.
NOVO
$118,661 Vol.
6 abr 2026
<40
3%
40-64
22%
65-89
38%
90-114
25%
115-139
13%
140-164
3%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 38%
90-114 25%
40-64 22%
115-139 13%
NOVO
$118,661 Vol.
NOVO
$118,661 Vol.
6 abr 2026
<40
$8,918 Vol.
3%
40-64
$4,646 Vol.
22%
65-89
$1,774 Vol.
38%
90-114
$2,777 Vol.
25%
115-139
$3,621 Vol.
13%
140-164
$4,607 Vol.
3%
165-189
$10,015 Vol.
1%
190-214
$11,136 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$33,610 Vol.
<1%
240+
$37,602 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 65-89 tweets from April 4-6 at 37.5% implied probability, reflecting his verified 218 posts from March 27-April 3 (averaging 31 daily) amid a late-March slowdown to ~27 per day over March 28-30. This anchors expectations below peak volumes of 340+ in early March, with 90-114 (24.5%) viable if activity mirrors today's high-output burst—10+ posts by mid-morning ET on Starship timelines, Grok Imagine upgrades, and Neuralink milestones. Weekend dynamics and lighter news flow could temper volume, though Musk's real-time engagement with viral AI, space, and cultural debates sustains his signature posting cadence, per real-time trackers. Odds may shift with breaking Tesla or X platform announcements.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ET
Volume
$118,661Data de Término
6 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 65-89 tweets from April 4-6 at 37.5% implied probability, reflecting his verified 218 posts from March 27-April 3 (averaging 31 daily) amid a late-March slowdown to ~27 per day over March 28-30. This anchors expectations below peak volumes of 340+ in early March, with 90-114 (24.5%) viable if activity mirrors today's high-output burst—10+ posts by mid-morning ET on Starship timelines, Grok Imagine upgrades, and Neuralink milestones. Weekend dynamics and lighter news flow could temper volume, though Musk's real-time engagement with viral AI, space, and cultural debates sustains his signature posting cadence, per real-time trackers. Odds may shift with breaking Tesla or X platform announcements.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$118,661Data de Término
6 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 65-89 tweets from April 4-6 at 37.5% implied probability, reflecting his verified 218 posts from March 27-April 3 (averaging 31 daily) amid a late-March slowdown to ~27 per day over March 28-30. This anchors expectations below peak volumes of 340+ in early March, with 90-114 (24.5%) viable if activity mirrors today's high-output burst—10+ posts by mid-morning ET on Starship timelines, Grok Imagine upgrades, and Neuralink milestones. Weekend dynamics and lighter news flow could temper volume, though Musk's real-time engagement with viral AI, space, and cultural debates sustains his signature posting cadence, per real-time trackers. Odds may shift with breaking Tesla or X platform announcements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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