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Política·Senado

Trump será cassado até 30 de junho?

Market icon
Política·Senado

Trump será cassado até 30 de junho?

jun 30

dez 31

jan 20, 2029

jun 30

dez 31

jan 20, 2029

Sim

4% acaso
Polymarket

$226,325 Vol.

Sim

4% acaso
Polymarket

$226,325 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House, with a majority sufficient to block any impeachment articles against President Trump, drives the 95.7% "No" trader consensus on impeachment by June 30. No House votes, hearings, or bipartisan momentum have emerged in the past 30 days, despite isolated Democratic resolutions like H.Res.939 that stalled without committee advancement. Recent March tensions over Iran strikes prompted partisan rhetoric but no procedural progress. The 2026 midterms in November could shift dynamics post-deadline, yet structural hurdles—a simple House majority to impeach followed by two-thirds Senate conviction—remain formidable. Realistic shifts would require a major scandal fracturing GOP unity or legal developments overriding congressional math.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$226,325
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House, with a majority sufficient to block any impeachment articles against President Trump, drives the 95.7% "No" trader consensus on impeachment by June 30. No House votes, hearings, or bipartisan momentum have emerged in the past 30 days, despite isolated Democratic resolutions like H.Res.939 that stalled without committee advancement. Recent March tensions over Iran strikes prompted partisan rhetoric but no procedural progress. The 2026 midterms in November could shift dynamics post-deadline, yet structural hurdles—a simple House majority to impeach followed by two-thirds Senate conviction—remain formidable. Realistic shifts would require a major scandal fracturing GOP unity or legal developments overriding congressional math.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$226,325
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump será cassado até 30 de junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Trump será impedido até 30 de junho?" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 4¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 4% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump será cassado até 30 de junho?" has generated $226.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump será cassado até 30 de junho?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Trump será cassado até 30 de junho?" is "Trump será impedido até 30 de junho?" at just 4%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Trump será cassado até 30 de junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.