Recent polling averages, including RealClearPolling at 40.9% approve and Silver Bulletin below 40% as of early April, have clustered President Trump's job approval rating in the 39–40% range, driving trader consensus toward those bins with top outcomes tightly matched at 34.5% and 31%. This narrow contest stems from poll divergence—Rasmussen at 46% versus CNN at 38%—amid ongoing partial government shutdown, escalating Iran war with gas prices surpassing $4 per gallon, and new lows on economy handling (31% in CNN). Base support erosion adds volatility; resolution on April 10 likely tracks a standard aggregator. De-escalation in Iran, shutdown end, or favorable inflation data could lift odds above 40%, while further escalation might push below 39%.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado39.0–39.4 34%
39.5–39.9 31%
38.5–38.9 15%
40.0–40.4 14%
NOVO
NOVO
11 abr 2026
<38.5
8%
38.5–38.9
15%
39.0–39.4
34%
39.5–39.9
31%
40.0–40.4
14%
40.5+
3%
39.0–39.4 34%
39.5–39.9 31%
38.5–38.9 15%
40.0–40.4 14%
NOVO
NOVO
11 abr 2026
<38.5
$843 Vol.
8%
38.5–38.9
$282 Vol.
15%
39.0–39.4
$227 Vol.
34%
39.5–39.9
$300 Vol.
31%
40.0–40.4
$229 Vol.
14%
40.5+
$919 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages, including RealClearPolling at 40.9% approve and Silver Bulletin below 40% as of early April, have clustered President Trump's job approval rating in the 39–40% range, driving trader consensus toward those bins with top outcomes tightly matched at 34.5% and 31%. This narrow contest stems from poll divergence—Rasmussen at 46% versus CNN at 38%—amid ongoing partial government shutdown, escalating Iran war with gas prices surpassing $4 per gallon, and new lows on economy handling (31% in CNN). Base support erosion adds volatility; resolution on April 10 likely tracks a standard aggregator. De-escalation in Iran, shutdown end, or favorable inflation data could lift odds above 40%, while further escalation might push below 39%.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
Volume
$2,799Data de Término
11 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages, including RealClearPolling at 40.9% approve and Silver Bulletin below 40% as of early April, have clustered President Trump's job approval rating in the 39–40% range, driving trader consensus toward those bins with top outcomes tightly matched at 34.5% and 31%. This narrow contest stems from poll divergence—Rasmussen at 46% versus CNN at 38%—amid ongoing partial government shutdown, escalating Iran war with gas prices surpassing $4 per gallon, and new lows on economy handling (31% in CNN). Base support erosion adds volatility; resolution on April 10 likely tracks a standard aggregator. De-escalation in Iran, shutdown end, or favorable inflation data could lift odds above 40%, while further escalation might push below 39%.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$2,799Data de Término
11 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages, including RealClearPolling at 40.9% approve and Silver Bulletin below 40% as of early April, have clustered President Trump's job approval rating in the 39–40% range, driving trader consensus toward those bins with top outcomes tightly matched at 34.5% and 31%. This narrow contest stems from poll divergence—Rasmussen at 46% versus CNN at 38%—amid ongoing partial government shutdown, escalating Iran war with gas prices surpassing $4 per gallon, and new lows on economy handling (31% in CNN). Base support erosion adds volatility; resolution on April 10 likely tracks a standard aggregator. De-escalation in Iran, shutdown end, or favorable inflation data could lift odds above 40%, while further escalation might push below 39%.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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