President Trump initiated Operation Epic Fury against Iran in late February 2026 with airstrikes on nuclear sites and missile facilities, bypassing congressional war declaration despite Democratic-led war powers challenges in March. Recent national addresses signal de-escalation, with Trump claiming objectives near completion, Iran "no longer a bully," and operations winding down in 2-3 weeks, though he threatens power plant strikes absent a ceasefire. Iran retaliated with attacks on Israel and Gulf allies, spiking oil prices and prompting a UN Security Council vote Friday on naval actions in the Strait of Hormuz. Formal congressional declaration remains improbable per historical precedents like post-WWII authorizations, amid Pentagon warnings of depleted targets and focus on diplomatic off-ramps.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTrump vai declarar guerra ao Irã até...?
Trump vai declarar guerra ao Irã até...?
$574,236 Vol.
30 abr 2026
30 de abril
4%
$574,236 Vol.
30 de abril
$22,140 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump initiated Operation Epic Fury against Iran in late February 2026 with airstrikes on nuclear sites and missile facilities, bypassing congressional war declaration despite Democratic-led war powers challenges in March. Recent national addresses signal de-escalation, with Trump claiming objectives near completion, Iran "no longer a bully," and operations winding down in 2-3 weeks, though he threatens power plant strikes absent a ceasefire. Iran retaliated with attacks on Israel and Gulf allies, spiking oil prices and prompting a UN Security Council vote Friday on naval actions in the Strait of Hormuz. Formal congressional declaration remains improbable per historical precedents like post-WWII authorizations, amid Pentagon warnings of depleted targets and focus on diplomatic off-ramps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
Volume
$574,236Data de Término
31 mar 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump initiated Operation Epic Fury against Iran in late February 2026 with airstrikes on nuclear sites and missile facilities, bypassing congressional war declaration despite Democratic-led war powers challenges in March. Recent national addresses signal de-escalation, with Trump claiming objectives near completion, Iran "no longer a bully," and operations winding down in 2-3 weeks, though he threatens power plant strikes absent a ceasefire. Iran retaliated with attacks on Israel and Gulf allies, spiking oil prices and prompting a UN Security Council vote Friday on naval actions in the Strait of Hormuz. Formal congressional declaration remains improbable per historical precedents like post-WWII authorizations, amid Pentagon warnings of depleted targets and focus on diplomatic off-ramps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$574,236Data de Término
31 mar 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump initiated Operation Epic Fury against Iran in late February 2026 with airstrikes on nuclear sites and missile facilities, bypassing congressional war declaration despite Democratic-led war powers challenges in March. Recent national addresses signal de-escalation, with Trump claiming objectives near completion, Iran "no longer a bully," and operations winding down in 2-3 weeks, though he threatens power plant strikes absent a ceasefire. Iran retaliated with attacks on Israel and Gulf allies, spiking oil prices and prompting a UN Security Council vote Friday on naval actions in the Strait of Hormuz. Formal congressional declaration remains improbable per historical precedents like post-WWII authorizations, amid Pentagon warnings of depleted targets and focus on diplomatic off-ramps.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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