Trader consensus prices an 80.5% chance of no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027, reflecting stalled US-brokered trilateral talks amid irreconcilable disputes over territory, security guarantees, and Russia's ongoing military advances in Ukraine. Recent envoy-level discussions in Geneva (February 2026) and Abu Dhabi yielded no breakthroughs on core issues, with Zelenskyy stating on February 18 that key disagreements persist. On April 1, Zelenskyy met US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner alongside Lindsey Graham and Mark Rutte to advance diplomacy toward a potential leaders' trilateral format, but no summit date emerged amid postponed March negotiations due to Middle East tensions. Low odds on venues like Turkey (2.4%) or the US (2.3%) stem from historical precedents without fresh momentum, as hostilities and mutual distrust dominate. Late escalations or diplomatic shifts could alter odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoNenhum encontro antes de 2027 81%
Turquia 2.4%
EUA 2.3%
Qatar / Emirados Árabes Unidos 1.8%
$1,892,291 Vol.
$1,892,291 Vol.

Nenhum encontro antes de 2027
81%

Turquia
2%

EUA
2%

Qatar / Emirados Árabes Unidos
2%

Arábia Saudita
2%

Rússia
1%

Suíça
1%

Hungria
1%

Belarus
1%

Ucrânia
1%

China
1%

Índia
1%

Itália / Vaticano
1%

Cazaquistão
1%
Nenhum encontro antes de 2027 81%
Turquia 2.4%
EUA 2.3%
Qatar / Emirados Árabes Unidos 1.8%
$1,892,291 Vol.
$1,892,291 Vol.

Nenhum encontro antes de 2027
81%

Turquia
2%

EUA
2%

Qatar / Emirados Árabes Unidos
2%

Arábia Saudita
2%

Rússia
1%

Suíça
1%

Hungria
1%

Belarus
1%

Ucrânia
1%

China
1%

Índia
1%

Itália / Vaticano
1%

Cazaquistão
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices an 80.5% chance of no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027, reflecting stalled US-brokered trilateral talks amid irreconcilable disputes over territory, security guarantees, and Russia's ongoing military advances in Ukraine. Recent envoy-level discussions in Geneva (February 2026) and Abu Dhabi yielded no breakthroughs on core issues, with Zelenskyy stating on February 18 that key disagreements persist. On April 1, Zelenskyy met US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner alongside Lindsey Graham and Mark Rutte to advance diplomacy toward a potential leaders' trilateral format, but no summit date emerged amid postponed March negotiations due to Middle East tensions. Low odds on venues like Turkey (2.4%) or the US (2.3%) stem from historical precedents without fresh momentum, as hostilities and mutual distrust dominate. Late escalations or diplomatic shifts could alter odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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