President Donald Trump's Truth Social activity has intensified around U.S.-Iran tensions, with posts from March 23-26 warning of military retaliation twenty times harder if Iran disrupts Strait of Hormuz oil flows, announcing allied warships, and addressing short-term oil price impacts from neutralizing Iran's nuclear threat. Maintaining his pattern of roughly 18 posts daily, as in 2025, traders assess probabilities based on these geopolitical escalations alongside recent tariff critiques and over 250 executive orders issued by March 26. No public events are scheduled for March 30-April 5, but ongoing diplomacy, potential airstrikes, or domestic policy updates could drive post topics amid this fluid foreign policy landscape.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoNEW
Apr 5, 2026
Keir / Starmer
35%
Ceasefire
67%
Epic Fury
41%
Gay
28%
Panican
37%
Palestine / Palestinian
29%
Memphis
32%
Statue
28%
Kuwait
41%
Boeing
41%
Free Tina Peters
57%
Barack Hussein Obama
35%
Sleepy Joe Biden
50%
Peace Through Strength
65%
Bully of the Middle East
41%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
41%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
44%
Democrat Shutdown
47%
Pahlavi
40%
Elon / Musk
41%
Terrorist
65%
Congresswoman
60%
Happy Easter
65%
Easter Egg
53%
Movie Star
42%
$353 Vol.
Keir / Starmer
$1 Vol.
35%
Ceasefire
$208 Vol.
67%
Epic Fury
$7 Vol.
41%
Gay
$0 Vol.
28%
Panican
$11 Vol.
37%
Palestine / Palestinian
$0 Vol.
29%
Memphis
$0 Vol.
32%
Statue
$0 Vol.
28%
Kuwait
$0 Vol.
41%
Boeing
$0 Vol.
41%
Free Tina Peters
$126 Vol.
57%
Barack Hussein Obama
$0 Vol.
35%
Sleepy Joe Biden
$0 Vol.
50%
Peace Through Strength
$0 Vol.
65%
Bully of the Middle East
$0 Vol.
41%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
$0 Vol.
41%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$0 Vol.
44%
Democrat Shutdown
$0 Vol.
47%
Pahlavi
$0 Vol.
40%
Elon / Musk
$0 Vol.
41%
Terrorist
$0 Vol.
65%
Congresswoman
$0 Vol.
60%
Happy Easter
$0 Vol.
65%
Easter Egg
$0 Vol.
53%
Movie Star
$0 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.President Donald Trump's Truth Social activity has intensified around U.S.-Iran tensions, with posts from March 23-26 warning of military retaliation twenty times harder if Iran disrupts Strait of Hormuz oil flows, announcing allied warships, and addressing short-term oil price impacts from neutralizing Iran's nuclear threat. Maintaining his pattern of roughly 18 posts daily, as in 2025, traders assess probabilities based on these geopolitical escalations alongside recent tariff critiques and over 250 executive orders issued by March 26. No public events are scheduled for March 30-April 5, but ongoing diplomacy, potential airstrikes, or domestic policy updates could drive post topics amid this fluid foreign policy landscape.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Volume
$353Data de Término
Apr 5, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.President Donald Trump's Truth Social activity has intensified around U.S.-Iran tensions, with posts from March 23-26 warning of military retaliation twenty times harder if Iran disrupts Strait of Hormuz oil flows, announcing allied warships, and addressing short-term oil price impacts from neutralizing Iran's nuclear threat. Maintaining his pattern of roughly 18 posts daily, as in 2025, traders assess probabilities based on these geopolitical escalations alongside recent tariff critiques and over 250 executive orders issued by March 26. No public events are scheduled for March 30-April 5, but ongoing diplomacy, potential airstrikes, or domestic policy updates could drive post topics amid this fluid foreign policy landscape.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Volume
$353Data de Término
Apr 5, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's Truth Social activity has intensified around U.S.-Iran tensions, with posts from March 23-26 warning of military retaliation twenty times harder if Iran disrupts Strait of Hormuz oil flows, announcing allied warships, and addressing short-term oil price impacts from neutralizing Iran's nuclear threat. Maintaining his pattern of roughly 18 posts daily, as in 2025, traders assess probabilities based on these geopolitical escalations alongside recent tariff critiques and over 250 executive orders issued by March 26. No public events are scheduled for March 30-April 5, but ongoing diplomacy, potential airstrikes, or domestic policy updates could drive post topics amid this fluid foreign policy landscape.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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