Skip to main content
Market icon
Política·Brasil

Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar

Market icon
Política·Brasil

Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar

Flávio Bolsonaro 66%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 15%

Renan Santos 6.8%

Fernando Haddad 6.3%

Polymarket

$3,040,842 Vol.

Flávio Bolsonaro 66%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 15%

Renan Santos 6.8%

Fernando Haddad 6.3%

Polymarket

$3,040,842 Vol.

Flávio Bolsonaro ficará em segundo lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Flávio Bolsonaro

$30,007 Vol.

66%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva terminará em segundo lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$34,707 Vol.

15%

Renan Santos ficará em segundo lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Renan Santos

$970,242 Vol.

7%

Fernando Haddad ficará em segundo lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Fernando Haddad

$634,834 Vol.

6%

Camilo Santana vai terminar em segundo lugar no primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais brasileiras de 2026? icon

Camilo Santana

$41,578 Vol.

2%

Ronaldo Caiado terminará em segundo lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Ronaldo Caiado

$271,772 Vol.

2%

Romeu Zema terminará em segundo lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Romeu Zema

$154,547 Vol.

2%

Jair Bolsonaro ficará em segundo lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Jair Bolsonaro

$57,361 Vol.

1%

Geraldo Alckmin terminará em segundo lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Geraldo Alckmin

$77,837 Vol.

1%

Aldo Rebelo ficará em segundo lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Aldo Rebelo

$13,840 Vol.

<1%

Michelle Bolsonaro terminará em segundo lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Michelle Bolsonaro

$36,060 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior terminará em segundo lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Ratinho Júnior

$596,705 Vol.

<1%

Tarcísio de Freitas ficará em segundo lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Tarcísio de Freitas

$84,471 Vol.

<1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro terminará em segundo lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$23,381 Vol.

<1%

Eduardo Leite ficará em segundo lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Eduardo Leite

$13,761 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls, such as Quaest (April 9-13) showing President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round voting intentions at 44% with Senator Flávio Bolsonaro at 38%, and Futura/Apex placing Lula at 39.9% and Flávio at 37.3%, have driven trader consensus toward Flávio as the frontrunner for second place ahead of the October 4 first round. Lula's approval has fallen to 44% against 51% disapproval amid economic headwinds, narrowing his lead and boosting Flávio's consolidation of right-wing support. Trailing candidates like Ronaldo Caiado (7%), Romeu Zema (4%), and Fernando Haddad lag in single digits due to fragmented opposition, while simulated runoffs show the duo tied at around 46% each, emphasizing first-round dynamics.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$3,040,842
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls, such as Quaest (April 9-13) showing President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round voting intentions at 44% with Senator Flávio Bolsonaro at 38%, and Futura/Apex placing Lula at 39.9% and Flávio at 37.3%, have driven trader consensus toward Flávio as the frontrunner for second place ahead of the October 4 first round. Lula's approval has fallen to 44% against 51% disapproval amid economic headwinds, narrowing his lead and boosting Flávio's consolidation of right-wing support. Trailing candidates like Ronaldo Caiado (7%), Romeu Zema (4%), and Fernando Haddad lag in single digits due to fragmented opposition, while simulated runoffs show the duo tied at around 46% each, emphasizing first-round dynamics.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$3,040,842
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Flávio Bolsonaro" at 66%, followed by "Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar" has generated $3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar" is "Flávio Bolsonaro" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.