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Mundo·Brasil

Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 3º lugar

Market icon
Mundo·Brasil

Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 3º lugar

Ronaldo Caiado 35%

Renan Santos 32%

Romeu Zema 20%

Flávio Bolsonaro 4.0%

Polymarket

$207,490 Vol.

Ronaldo Caiado 35%

Renan Santos 32%

Romeu Zema 20%

Flávio Bolsonaro 4.0%

Polymarket

$207,490 Vol.

Ronaldo Caiado terminará em terceiro lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Ronaldo Caiado

$9,617 Vol.

35%

Renan Santos terminará em terceiro lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Renan Santos

$28,600 Vol.

32%

Romeu Zema terminará em terceiro lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Romeu Zema

$4,112 Vol.

20%

Flávio Bolsonaro terminará em terceiro lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Flávio Bolsonaro

$2,628 Vol.

4%

Fernando Haddad vai terminar em terceiro lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Fernando Haddad

$12,236 Vol.

4%

Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior terminará em terceiro lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Ratinho Júnior

$90,218 Vol.

2%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva terminará em terceiro lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$2,990 Vol.

2%

Tarcisio de Freitas terminará em terceiro lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Tarcisio de Freitas

$2,872 Vol.

2%

Camilo Santana ficará em terceiro lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Camilo Santana

$4,676 Vol.

1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro ficará em terceiro lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$38,853 Vol.

1%

Jair Bolsonaro terminará em terceiro lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Jair Bolsonaro

$2,065 Vol.

1%

Eduardo Leite vai terminar em terceiro lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Eduardo Leite

$1,646 Vol.

1%

Aldo Rebelo terminará em terceiro lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Aldo Rebelo

$1,761 Vol.

1%

Geraldo Alckmin ficará em terceiro lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Geraldo Alckmin

$2,946 Vol.

1%

Michelle Bolsonaro terminará em terceiro lugar no primeiro turno da eleição presidencial brasileira de 2026? icon

Michelle Bolsonaro

$2,271 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Trader consensus prices Ronaldo Caiado slightly ahead of Renan Santos for third place in Brazil's October 4, 2026, presidential first-round vote, reflecting right-wing fragmentation beyond frontrunners Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro, who dominate polls at 30-40% each. Recent April surveys like Quaest (April 9-13) and Datafolha (April 7-9) show Romeu Zema leading third at 5-6%, with Caiado at 3-4% and Renan Santos at 2%, but markets diverge, betting on Caiado's momentum from PSD nomination confirmation and amnesty pledge for Jair Bolsonaro (late March) alongside Renan Santos' libertarian MBL appeal. The race stays tight due to undecideds (10-20%) and split conservative support; separation could come from party consolidations, Bolsonaro family endorsements, or governors' regional strengths in Goiás and Minas Gerais ahead of conventions.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$207,490
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Trader consensus prices Ronaldo Caiado slightly ahead of Renan Santos for third place in Brazil's October 4, 2026, presidential first-round vote, reflecting right-wing fragmentation beyond frontrunners Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro, who dominate polls at 30-40% each. Recent April surveys like Quaest (April 9-13) and Datafolha (April 7-9) show Romeu Zema leading third at 5-6%, with Caiado at 3-4% and Renan Santos at 2%, but markets diverge, betting on Caiado's momentum from PSD nomination confirmation and amnesty pledge for Jair Bolsonaro (late March) alongside Renan Santos' libertarian MBL appeal. The race stays tight due to undecideds (10-20%) and split conservative support; separation could come from party consolidations, Bolsonaro family endorsements, or governors' regional strengths in Goiás and Minas Gerais ahead of conventions.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$207,490
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 3º lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ronaldo Caiado" at 35%, followed by "Renan Santos" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 3º lugar" has generated $207.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 3º lugar," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 3º lugar" is "Ronaldo Caiado" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Renan Santos" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 3º lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.