Recent polling shows Augusto Cury holding a narrow lead for third place behind frontrunners Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, driven by his late-August surge from television interviews and social media reach that positioned him as a centrist outsider appealing to independents disillusioned with polarization. Renan Santos trails closely, drawing on his MBL activist network and attacks on both major camps, while Ronaldo Caiado remains further back as a traditional center-right option with regional governance credentials. The tight contest reflects a fragmented field where no single alternative has consolidated the non-Lula, non-Bolsonaro vote. Upcoming debates and final-week polling shifts could widen gaps before the October 4 first round.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAugusto Cury 46.4%
Renan Santos 38%
Ronaldo Caiado 16%
Flávio Bolsonaro <1%
$1,163,281 Vol.
$1,163,281 Vol.
3 out 2026
Augusto Cury
46%
Renan Santos
38%
Ronaldo Caiado
16%
Flávio Bolsonaro
1%
Romeu Zema
1%
Pablo Marçal
1%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
<1%
Fernando Haddad
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
Eduardo Leite
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
Augusto Cury 46.4%
Renan Santos 38%
Ronaldo Caiado 16%
Flávio Bolsonaro <1%
$1,163,281 Vol.
$1,163,281 Vol.
3 out 2026
Augusto Cury
$198,150 Vol.
46%
Renan Santos
$310,847 Vol.
38%
Ronaldo Caiado
$130,131 Vol.
16%
Flávio Bolsonaro
$72,905 Vol.
1%
Romeu Zema
$54,441 Vol.
1%
Pablo Marçal
$65,876 Vol.
1%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$52,175 Vol.
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
$16,773 Vol.
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
$15,847 Vol.
<1%
Fernando Haddad
$23,204 Vol.
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$20,815 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$46,212 Vol.
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
$104,208 Vol.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$13,084 Vol.
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
$11,811 Vol.
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
$9,865 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Leite
$9,374 Vol.
<1%
Tereza Cristina
$4,083 Vol.
<1%
Helder Barbalho
$3,481 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling shows Augusto Cury holding a narrow lead for third place behind frontrunners Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, driven by his late-August surge from television interviews and social media reach that positioned him as a centrist outsider appealing to independents disillusioned with polarization. Renan Santos trails closely, drawing on his MBL activist network and attacks on both major camps, while Ronaldo Caiado remains further back as a traditional center-right option with regional governance credentials. The tight contest reflects a fragmented field where no single alternative has consolidated the non-Lula, non-Bolsonaro vote. Upcoming debates and final-week polling shifts could widen gaps before the October 4 first round.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercado Aberto: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volume
$1,163,281Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling shows Augusto Cury holding a narrow lead for third place behind frontrunners Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, driven by his late-August surge from television interviews and social media reach that positioned him as a centrist outsider appealing to independents disillusioned with polarization. Renan Santos trails closely, drawing on his MBL activist network and attacks on both major camps, while Ronaldo Caiado remains further back as a traditional center-right option with regional governance credentials. The tight contest reflects a fragmented field where no single alternative has consolidated the non-Lula, non-Bolsonaro vote. Upcoming debates and final-week polling shifts could widen gaps before the October 4 first round.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$1,163,281Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling shows Augusto Cury holding a narrow lead for third place behind frontrunners Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, driven by his late-August surge from television interviews and social media reach that positioned him as a centrist outsider appealing to independents disillusioned with polarization. Renan Santos trails closely, drawing on his MBL activist network and attacks on both major camps, while Ronaldo Caiado remains further back as a traditional center-right option with regional governance credentials. The tight contest reflects a fragmented field where no single alternative has consolidated the non-Lula, non-Bolsonaro vote. Upcoming debates and final-week polling shifts could widen gaps before the October 4 first round.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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Flavio Bolsonaro receberá a maioria dos votos no Distrito Federal na próxima eleição presidencial do Brasil?
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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