Market icon
Mundo·Brasil

Decisão do Banco do Brasil em abril?

Market icon
Mundo·Brasil

Decisão do Banco do Brasil em abril?

abr 28

jun 16

abr 28

jun 16

Redução 85%

Sem alteração 16%

Aumento <1%

Polymarket

$197,957 Vol.

Redução 85%

Sem alteração 16%

Aumento <1%

Polymarket

$197,957 Vol.

Aumento

$111,111 Vol.

1%

Sem alteração

$41,560 Vol.

16%

Redução

$45,285 Vol.

85%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 84.5% implied probability of a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's Copom meeting around April 29, reflecting the cautious easing cycle initiated with a 25 basis point cut to 14.75% in the March 18 decision amid slowing disinflation—February IPCA at 3.81% year-over-year, the lowest since April 2024. Recent March IPCA-15 rose 0.44% month-over-month, with annual inflation easing to 3.90%, but Middle East oil shocks from the Iran conflict have lifted 2026 inflation expectations to 4.31% per the latest Focus survey, tempering pace expectations versus no change at 15.5%. Economic activity deceleration supports further cuts, though fiscal risks and upside inflation pressures cap aggressive moves.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$197,957
Data de Término
28 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 84.5% implied probability of a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's Copom meeting around April 29, reflecting the cautious easing cycle initiated with a 25 basis point cut to 14.75% in the March 18 decision amid slowing disinflation—February IPCA at 3.81% year-over-year, the lowest since April 2024. Recent March IPCA-15 rose 0.44% month-over-month, with annual inflation easing to 3.90%, but Middle East oil shocks from the Iran conflict have lifted 2026 inflation expectations to 4.31% per the latest Focus survey, tempering pace expectations versus no change at 15.5%. Economic activity deceleration supports further cuts, though fiscal risks and upside inflation pressures cap aggressive moves.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$197,957
Data de Término
28 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Decisão do Banco do Brasil em abril?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Redução" at 85%, followed by "Sem alteração" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Decisão do Banco do Brasil em abril?" has generated $198K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Decisão do Banco do Brasil em abril?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Decisão do Banco do Brasil em abril?" is "Redução" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sem alteração" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Decisão do Banco do Brasil em abril?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.