Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices a razor-thin contest for March 2026 CPI year-over-year at ≥3.4% (41%) versus exactly 3.3% (38.1%), reflecting uncertainty over producer price passthrough amid February's PPI surge to 3.4% annually—the highest in a year—and March ISM manufacturing prices paid index spiking to 78.3 from 70.5. Elevated one-year consumer inflation expectations at 3.8% (up from 3.4%), fueled by geopolitical tensions and oil volatility, further bolster higher readings, while Cleveland Fed nowcasts signal an 0.84% headline monthly gain. Diverging views hinge on energy components and base effects from March 2025's low print, with resolution looming on the Bureau of Labor Statistics' April 10 release.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado≥3,4% 41.0%
3,3% 38.0%
3,2% 14%
3,1% 2.9%
$871,695 Vol.
$871,695 Vol.
10 abr 2026
≤2,6%
1%
2,7%
1%
2,8%
1%
2,9%
1%
3,0%
1%
3,1%
3%
3,2%
14%
3,3%
38%
≥3,4%
41%
≥3,4% 41.0%
3,3% 38.0%
3,2% 14%
3,1% 2.9%
$871,695 Vol.
$871,695 Vol.
10 abr 2026
≤2,6%
$107,474 Vol.
1%
2,7%
$104,735 Vol.
1%
2,8%
$49,567 Vol.
1%
2,9%
$47,048 Vol.
1%
3,0%
$50,456 Vol.
1%
3,1%
$69,919 Vol.
3%
3,2%
$45,720 Vol.
14%
3,3%
$166,394 Vol.
38%
≥3,4%
$230,381 Vol.
41%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices a razor-thin contest for March 2026 CPI year-over-year at ≥3.4% (41%) versus exactly 3.3% (38.1%), reflecting uncertainty over producer price passthrough amid February's PPI surge to 3.4% annually—the highest in a year—and March ISM manufacturing prices paid index spiking to 78.3 from 70.5. Elevated one-year consumer inflation expectations at 3.8% (up from 3.4%), fueled by geopolitical tensions and oil volatility, further bolster higher readings, while Cleveland Fed nowcasts signal an 0.84% headline monthly gain. Diverging views hinge on energy components and base effects from March 2025's low print, with resolution looming on the Bureau of Labor Statistics' April 10 release.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 11, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Volume
$871,695Data de Término
10 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 11, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices a razor-thin contest for March 2026 CPI year-over-year at ≥3.4% (41%) versus exactly 3.3% (38.1%), reflecting uncertainty over producer price passthrough amid February's PPI surge to 3.4% annually—the highest in a year—and March ISM manufacturing prices paid index spiking to 78.3 from 70.5. Elevated one-year consumer inflation expectations at 3.8% (up from 3.4%), fueled by geopolitical tensions and oil volatility, further bolster higher readings, while Cleveland Fed nowcasts signal an 0.84% headline monthly gain. Diverging views hinge on energy components and base effects from March 2025's low print, with resolution looming on the Bureau of Labor Statistics' April 10 release.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$871,695Data de Término
10 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 11, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices a razor-thin contest for March 2026 CPI year-over-year at ≥3.4% (41%) versus exactly 3.3% (38.1%), reflecting uncertainty over producer price passthrough amid February's PPI surge to 3.4% annually—the highest in a year—and March ISM manufacturing prices paid index spiking to 78.3 from 70.5. Elevated one-year consumer inflation expectations at 3.8% (up from 3.4%), fueled by geopolitical tensions and oil volatility, further bolster higher readings, while Cleveland Fed nowcasts signal an 0.84% headline monthly gain. Diverging views hinge on energy components and base effects from March 2025's low print, with resolution looming on the Bureau of Labor Statistics' April 10 release.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions