U.S. regular gasoline retail prices have surged to around $4.00 per gallon nationally as of March 31, per AAA and EIA data, up over $1 in the past month amid escalating Middle East tensions following U.S. and Israeli military actions against Iran in late February, which disrupted oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz and spiked Brent crude above $90 briefly. This geopolitical shock, combined with seasonal switch to costlier summer-blend fuel and rising spring driving demand, has driven trader consensus toward high probabilities for prices hitting $4.05–$4.50 by April 30 on Polymarket, though $4.75+ remains less likely. Key watches include OPEC+ output decisions, weekly EIA inventory reports, and any further conflict de-escalation or refinery maintenance issues.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoNOVO
30 abr 2026
↑ $5.00
11%
↑ $4.75
15%
↑ $4.50
50%
↑ $4.25
77%
↑ $4.15
87%
↑ $4.05
89%
↓ $3.95
82%
↓ $3.85
37%
↓ $3.75
28%
↓ $3.50
41%
↓ $3.25
40%
↓ $3.00
9%
$1,895 Vol.
↑ $5.00
$119 Vol.
11%
↑ $4.75
$130 Vol.
15%
↑ $4.50
$209 Vol.
50%
↑ $4.25
$98 Vol.
77%
↑ $4.15
$40 Vol.
87%
↑ $4.05
$245 Vol.
89%
↓ $3.95
$325 Vol.
82%
↓ $3.85
$338 Vol.
37%
↓ $3.75
$39 Vol.
28%
↓ $3.50
$0 Vol.
41%
↓ $3.25
$0 Vol.
40%
↓ $3.00
$351 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. regular gasoline retail prices have surged to around $4.00 per gallon nationally as of March 31, per AAA and EIA data, up over $1 in the past month amid escalating Middle East tensions following U.S. and Israeli military actions against Iran in late February, which disrupted oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz and spiked Brent crude above $90 briefly. This geopolitical shock, combined with seasonal switch to costlier summer-blend fuel and rising spring driving demand, has driven trader consensus toward high probabilities for prices hitting $4.05–$4.50 by April 30 on Polymarket, though $4.75+ remains less likely. Key watches include OPEC+ output decisions, weekly EIA inventory reports, and any further conflict de-escalation or refinery maintenance issues.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Mercado Aberto: Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,895Data de Término
30 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. regular gasoline retail prices have surged to around $4.00 per gallon nationally as of March 31, per AAA and EIA data, up over $1 in the past month amid escalating Middle East tensions following U.S. and Israeli military actions against Iran in late February, which disrupted oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz and spiked Brent crude above $90 briefly. This geopolitical shock, combined with seasonal switch to costlier summer-blend fuel and rising spring driving demand, has driven trader consensus toward high probabilities for prices hitting $4.05–$4.50 by April 30 on Polymarket, though $4.75+ remains less likely. Key watches include OPEC+ output decisions, weekly EIA inventory reports, and any further conflict de-escalation or refinery maintenance issues.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$1,895Data de Término
30 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. regular gasoline retail prices have surged to around $4.00 per gallon nationally as of March 31, per AAA and EIA data, up over $1 in the past month amid escalating Middle East tensions following U.S. and Israeli military actions against Iran in late February, which disrupted oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz and spiked Brent crude above $90 briefly. This geopolitical shock, combined with seasonal switch to costlier summer-blend fuel and rising spring driving demand, has driven trader consensus toward high probabilities for prices hitting $4.05–$4.50 by April 30 on Polymarket, though $4.75+ remains less likely. Key watches include OPEC+ output decisions, weekly EIA inventory reports, and any further conflict de-escalation or refinery maintenance issues.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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