Market icon
Economia·Parcl

What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?

Market icon
Economia·Parcl

What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?

<336k 45%

336 - 338k 45%

338 - 340k 45%

340 - 342k 45%

Polymarket
NOVO

<336k 45%

336 - 338k 45%

338 - 340k 45%

340 - 342k 45%

Polymarket
NOVO

<336k

$0 Vol.

45%

336 - 338k

$0 Vol.

45%

338 - 340k

$0 Vol.

45%

340 - 342k

$0 Vol.

45%

342 - 344k

$0 Vol.

45%

344 - 346k

$0 Vol.

45%

346 - 348k

$0 Vol.

45%

>348k

$0 Vol.

45%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)Polymarket traders show evenly distributed implied probabilities across Chicago median home value bins clustered around $340,000 for April 30, reflecting the Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) for the Chicago-Naperville-Elgin metro at $338,685 in February 2026, up 4.0% year-over-year but with only modest 1.1% month-over-month gains. Persistent low inventory—down notably year-over-year—supports price stability amid high mortgage rates near 7%, capping aggressive appreciation while spring buying season looms. Trader consensus highlights balanced forces: supply constraints versus affordability pressures from Federal Reserve policy stasis, with no decisive catalyst emerging in recent Illinois Realtors data through February. Key differentiators include upcoming March ZHVI release and nonfarm payrolls influencing rate cut odds, potentially tipping sentiment toward higher bins if labor data softens.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)
Volume
$0
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)Polymarket traders show evenly distributed implied probabilities across Chicago median home value bins clustered around $340,000 for April 30, reflecting the Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) for the Chicago-Naperville-Elgin metro at $338,685 in February 2026, up 4.0% year-over-year but with only modest 1.1% month-over-month gains. Persistent low inventory—down notably year-over-year—supports price stability amid high mortgage rates near 7%, capping aggressive appreciation while spring buying season looms. Trader consensus highlights balanced forces: supply constraints versus affordability pressures from Federal Reserve policy stasis, with no decisive catalyst emerging in recent Illinois Realtors data through February. Key differentiators include upcoming March ZHVI release and nonfarm payrolls influencing rate cut odds, potentially tipping sentiment toward higher bins if labor data softens.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)
Volume
$0
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<336k" at 45%, followed by "336 - 338k" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?" is "<336k" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "336 - 338k" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.