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Economia·Carcaça

What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?

Market icon
Economia·Carcaça

What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?

>1.22m 46%

<1.17m 45%

1.17 - 1.18m 45%

1.18 - 1.19m 45%

Polymarket
NOVO

>1.22m 46%

<1.17m 45%

1.17 - 1.18m 45%

1.18 - 1.19m 45%

Polymarket
NOVO

<1.17m

$0 Vol.

45%

1.17 - 1.18m

$0 Vol.

45%

1.18 - 1.19m

$0 Vol.

45%

1.19 - 1.2m

$0 Vol.

45%

1.2 - 1.21m

$0 Vol.

45%

1.21 - 1.22m

$0 Vol.

45%

>1.22m

$0 Vol.

46%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)Polymarket traders express balanced uncertainty with 45.5% implied probabilities across all bins for Los Angeles metro median home value on April 30, reflecting a closely contested outlook centered around $1.17-1.22 million. February 2026 data from Zillow's Home Value Index and Redfin median sale prices showed year-over-year declines of 1-5% for the Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim area, driven by modestly rising inventory (up slightly month-over-month) amid 6.4% 30-year mortgage rates suppressing demand. Persistent low supply and robust local employment provide counterbalance, creating equilibrium. Key differentiators: March housing data releases mid-April and potential Fed rate guidance, alongside spring buying momentum, could sway the trajectory amid stable national forecasts of 0.7% annual home value growth.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
Volume
$0
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)Polymarket traders express balanced uncertainty with 45.5% implied probabilities across all bins for Los Angeles metro median home value on April 30, reflecting a closely contested outlook centered around $1.17-1.22 million. February 2026 data from Zillow's Home Value Index and Redfin median sale prices showed year-over-year declines of 1-5% for the Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim area, driven by modestly rising inventory (up slightly month-over-month) amid 6.4% 30-year mortgage rates suppressing demand. Persistent low supply and robust local employment provide counterbalance, creating equilibrium. Key differentiators: March housing data releases mid-April and potential Fed rate guidance, alongside spring buying momentum, could sway the trajectory amid stable national forecasts of 0.7% annual home value growth.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
Volume
$0
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is ">1.22m" at 46%, followed by "<1.17m" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?" is ">1.22m" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<1.17m" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.