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Alexandre de Moraes como Ministro do Supremo Tribunal Federal?

Market icon

Alexandre de Moraes como Ministro do Supremo Tribunal Federal?

Sim

18% acaso
Polymarket

$17,333 Vol.

Sim

18% acaso
Polymarket

$17,333 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 82% implied probability that Alexandre de Moraes remains a Brazilian Supreme Court (STF) justice, driven by the high institutional barriers to removal—lifetime tenure until age 75 and impeachment requiring a two-thirds Senate vote, as reaffirmed by Justice Gilmar Mendes in December 2025 limiting such actions to the prosecutor general. Recent scrutiny over alleged ties to the failed Banco Master SA, reported March 11, 2026, has fueled opposition criticism from Bolsonaro allies but triggered no formal proceedings. U.S. sanctions on Moraes were lifted in December 2025, easing external pressure, while a related market prices any STF impeachment before 2027 at just 14%, underscoring traders' view of slim prospects amid political gridlock.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,333
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 82% implied probability that Alexandre de Moraes remains a Brazilian Supreme Court (STF) justice, driven by the high institutional barriers to removal—lifetime tenure until age 75 and impeachment requiring a two-thirds Senate vote, as reaffirmed by Justice Gilmar Mendes in December 2025 limiting such actions to the prosecutor general. Recent scrutiny over alleged ties to the failed Banco Master SA, reported March 11, 2026, has fueled opposition criticism from Bolsonaro allies but triggered no formal proceedings. U.S. sanctions on Moraes were lifted in December 2025, easing external pressure, while a related market prices any STF impeachment before 2027 at just 14%, underscoring traders' view of slim prospects amid political gridlock.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,333
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Alexandre de Moraes como Ministro do Supremo Tribunal Federal?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexandre de Moraes fora como ministro do Supremo Tribunal Federal do Brasil?" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Alexandre de Moraes como Ministro do Supremo Tribunal Federal?" has generated $17.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Alexandre de Moraes como Ministro do Supremo Tribunal Federal?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Alexandre de Moraes como Ministro do Supremo Tribunal Federal?" is "Alexandre de Moraes fora como ministro do Supremo Tribunal Federal do Brasil?" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Alexandre de Moraes como Ministro do Supremo Tribunal Federal?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.