Trader consensus prices "No" at 85.5% for any Brazil STF justice facing successful impeachment before 2027, reflecting steep procedural hurdles and insufficient Senate support amid the current Congress. Recent scandals, including the Banco Master case implicating Justices Alexandre de Moraes and Dias Toffoli, have triggered fresh impeachment petitions—now dozens against key figures—but Senate President Rodrigo Pacheco has archived most without advancing to the CCJ or plenary vote requiring two-thirds approval (54 of 81 senators). Opposition leaders like Jair Bolsonaro prioritize building a pro-impeachment majority post-October 2026 elections, yet ministers and analysts assess processes as suspended until 2027, underscoring the court's entrenched institutional protections despite public polls favoring removals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoSim
$55,839 Vol.
$55,839 Vol.
Sim
$55,839 Vol.
$55,839 Vol.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 85.5% for any Brazil STF justice facing successful impeachment before 2027, reflecting steep procedural hurdles and insufficient Senate support amid the current Congress. Recent scandals, including the Banco Master case implicating Justices Alexandre de Moraes and Dias Toffoli, have triggered fresh impeachment petitions—now dozens against key figures—but Senate President Rodrigo Pacheco has archived most without advancing to the CCJ or plenary vote requiring two-thirds approval (54 of 81 senators). Opposition leaders like Jair Bolsonaro prioritize building a pro-impeachment majority post-October 2026 elections, yet ministers and analysts assess processes as suspended until 2027, underscoring the court's entrenched institutional protections despite public polls favoring removals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions