Nicolás Maduro, extradited to the US after his ouster as Venezuelan president, pleaded not guilty to four federal charges including narcoterrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation in New York federal court earlier this year. A recent hearing saw Judge Alvin Hellerstein reject Maduro's motion to dismiss the 2020 Southern District of New York indictment while questioning US sanctions that block Venezuelan government funds for his defense, potentially complicating his legal team. Traders' 74.5% consensus on "No" reflects the narcoterrorism statute's poor trial record—most of 83 charged have pleaded to lesser offenses—with upcoming proceedings facing evidentiary hurdles, jury uncertainties, and political sensitivities despite strong prosecution arguments on his alleged cartel ties.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoSim
$99,237 Vol.
$99,237 Vol.
31 dez 2027
Sim
$99,237 Vol.
$99,237 Vol.
31 dez 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro, extradited to the US after his ouster as Venezuelan president, pleaded not guilty to four federal charges including narcoterrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation in New York federal court earlier this year. A recent hearing saw Judge Alvin Hellerstein reject Maduro's motion to dismiss the 2020 Southern District of New York indictment while questioning US sanctions that block Venezuelan government funds for his defense, potentially complicating his legal team. Traders' 74.5% consensus on "No" reflects the narcoterrorism statute's poor trial record—most of 83 charged have pleaded to lesser offenses—with upcoming proceedings facing evidentiary hurdles, jury uncertainties, and political sensitivities despite strong prosecution arguments on his alleged cartel ties.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volume
$99,237Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro, extradited to the US after his ouster as Venezuelan president, pleaded not guilty to four federal charges including narcoterrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation in New York federal court earlier this year. A recent hearing saw Judge Alvin Hellerstein reject Maduro's motion to dismiss the 2020 Southern District of New York indictment while questioning US sanctions that block Venezuelan government funds for his defense, potentially complicating his legal team. Traders' 74.5% consensus on "No" reflects the narcoterrorism statute's poor trial record—most of 83 charged have pleaded to lesser offenses—with upcoming proceedings facing evidentiary hurdles, jury uncertainties, and political sensitivities despite strong prosecution arguments on his alleged cartel ties.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$99,237Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro, extradited to the US after his ouster as Venezuelan president, pleaded not guilty to four federal charges including narcoterrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation in New York federal court earlier this year. A recent hearing saw Judge Alvin Hellerstein reject Maduro's motion to dismiss the 2020 Southern District of New York indictment while questioning US sanctions that block Venezuelan government funds for his defense, potentially complicating his legal team. Traders' 74.5% consensus on "No" reflects the narcoterrorism statute's poor trial record—most of 83 charged have pleaded to lesser offenses—with upcoming proceedings facing evidentiary hurdles, jury uncertainties, and political sensitivities despite strong prosecution arguments on his alleged cartel ties.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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