Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects razor-thin uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ongoing third New York rape retrial, pitting "No Prison Time" at 32.4% against "20-30 years" at 31.8%, driven by week-two testimony from accuser Jessica Mann revealing a newly disclosed phone note expressing her emotional attachment post-2013 incident—potentially bolstering defense claims of a complex relationship amid power dynamics. This echoes the 2025 mistrial on the same third-degree rape charge after a split verdict on a separate sexual assault conviction, while his 16-year California sentence faces a skeptical appeal. With closing arguments imminent by mid-May and sentencing to dictate resolution by July 31 (or "No Prison Time" default), Weinstein's age, frail health, and prior plea considerations heighten volatility in this #MeToo landmark case.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTempo de prisão de Harvey Weinstein?
Tempo de prisão de Harvey Weinstein?
Sem tempo de prisão 32.4%
20-30 anos 31.8%
10-20 anos 15.6%
Mais de 30 anos 7.6%
$911,701 Vol.
$911,701 Vol.
Sem tempo de prisão
32%
<5 anos
6%
5-10 anos
4%
10-20 anos
16%
20-30 anos
32%
Mais de 30 anos
8%
Sem tempo de prisão 32.4%
20-30 anos 31.8%
10-20 anos 15.6%
Mais de 30 anos 7.6%
$911,701 Vol.
$911,701 Vol.
Sem tempo de prisão
32%
<5 anos
6%
5-10 anos
4%
10-20 anos
16%
20-30 anos
32%
Mais de 30 anos
8%
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects razor-thin uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ongoing third New York rape retrial, pitting "No Prison Time" at 32.4% against "20-30 years" at 31.8%, driven by week-two testimony from accuser Jessica Mann revealing a newly disclosed phone note expressing her emotional attachment post-2013 incident—potentially bolstering defense claims of a complex relationship amid power dynamics. This echoes the 2025 mistrial on the same third-degree rape charge after a split verdict on a separate sexual assault conviction, while his 16-year California sentence faces a skeptical appeal. With closing arguments imminent by mid-May and sentencing to dictate resolution by July 31 (or "No Prison Time" default), Weinstein's age, frail health, and prior plea considerations heighten volatility in this #MeToo landmark case.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions