FAA National Airspace System status shows major hub disruptions driving trader consensus toward 6,000-7,000 delays, with O'Hare (ORD) facing 81-minute ground delays and 90-minute departure delays from thunderstorms, LaGuardia (LGA) at 58 minutes, plus winds impacting JFK, EWR, PHL, and LAS. These align with recent daily averages around 5,600 amid ongoing TSA checkpoint bottlenecks from partial government shutdown staffing shortages, causing widespread security lines. The tight race among top bins reflects early accumulation of 1,600+ US delays projecting moderately higher without nationwide storms like mid-March's 10,000-plus events. Persistence of Midwest thunderstorms or volume surges could elevate to 7,000+; dissipation and backpay easing TSA flows might cap below 6,500.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado5,500-6,000 55%
6,000-6,500 46%
6,500-7,000 43%
5,000-5,500 28%
$405 Vol.
$405 Vol.
<5,000
10%
5,000-5,500
28%
5,500-6,000
55%
6,000-6,500
46%
6,500-7,000
43%
7,000-7,500
21%
7,500-8,000
18%
>8,000
13%
5,500-6,000 55%
6,000-6,500 46%
6,500-7,000 43%
5,000-5,500 28%
$405 Vol.
$405 Vol.
<5,000
10%
5,000-5,500
28%
5,500-6,000
55%
6,000-6,500
46%
6,500-7,000
43%
7,000-7,500
21%
7,500-8,000
18%
>8,000
13%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 30, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...FAA National Airspace System status shows major hub disruptions driving trader consensus toward 6,000-7,000 delays, with O'Hare (ORD) facing 81-minute ground delays and 90-minute departure delays from thunderstorms, LaGuardia (LGA) at 58 minutes, plus winds impacting JFK, EWR, PHL, and LAS. These align with recent daily averages around 5,600 amid ongoing TSA checkpoint bottlenecks from partial government shutdown staffing shortages, causing widespread security lines. The tight race among top bins reflects early accumulation of 1,600+ US delays projecting moderately higher without nationwide storms like mid-March's 10,000-plus events. Persistence of Midwest thunderstorms or volume surges could elevate to 7,000+; dissipation and backpay easing TSA flows might cap below 6,500.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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