Market icon
Política·TSA

Número de voos dos EUA atrasados em 29 de março?

Market icon
Política·TSA

Número de voos dos EUA atrasados em 29 de março?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

<6.000 44%

>9.000 40%

6.000-6.500 33%

8.000-8.500 33%

Polymarket
NEW

<6.000 44%

>9.000 40%

6.000-6.500 33%

8.000-8.500 33%

Polymarket
NEW

<6.000

$0 Vol.

44%

6.000-6.500

$0 Vol.

33%

6.500-7.000

$0 Vol.

30%

7.000-7.500

$0 Vol.

28%

7.500-8.000

$0 Vol.

28%

8.000-8.500

$10 Vol.

33%

8.500-9.000

$10 Vol.

28%

>9.000

$0 Vol.

40%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between under 6,000 delayed US flights on March 29 at 43.5% and over 9,000 at 40%, reflecting uncertainty from an ongoing partial government shutdown that has led to over 300 TSA agent resignations, swelling security lines and contributing to recent daily delays around 3,000 on March 27 amid spring break travel surges. After mid-March storms spiked delays above 12,000 with thousands of cancellations, calmer conditions have prevailed, but FAA's March 27 report flags potential high winds disrupting New York (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL) airports. Final weather forecasts, FAA ground delay programs, or intensified TSA bottlenecks could tip volumes higher, while clear skies and managed volumes favor the lower bins. Average daily delays hover near 5,600 per BTS and FlightAware data.

Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between under 6,000 delayed US flights on March 29 at 43.5% and over 9,000 at 40%, reflecting uncertainty from an ongoing partial government shutdown that has led to over 300 TSA agent resignations, swelling security lines and contributing to recent daily delays around 3,000 on March 27 amid spring break travel surges. After mid-March storms spiked delays above 12,000 with thousands of cancellations, calmer conditions have prevailed, but FAA's March 27 report flags potential high winds disrupting New York (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL) airports. Final weather forecasts, FAA ground delay programs, or intensified TSA bottlenecks could tip volumes higher, while clear skies and managed volumes favor the lower bins. Average daily delays hover near 5,600 per BTS and FlightAware data.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between under 6,000 delayed US flights on March 29 at 43.5% and over 9,000 at 40%, reflecting uncertainty from an ongoing partial government shutdown that has led to over 300 TSA agent resignations, swelling security lines and contributing to recent daily delays around 3,000 on March 27 amid spring break travel surges. After mid-March storms spiked delays above 12,000 with thousands of cancellations, calmer conditions have prevailed, but FAA's March 27 report flags potential high winds disrupting New York (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL) airports. Final weather forecasts, FAA ground delay programs, or intensified TSA bottlenecks could tip volumes higher, while clear skies and managed volumes favor the lower bins. Average daily delays hover near 5,600 per BTS and FlightAware data.

Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between under 6,000 delayed US flights on March 29 at 43.5% and over 9,000 at 40%, reflecting uncertainty from an ongoing partial government shutdown that has led to over 300 TSA agent resignations, swelling security lines and contributing to recent daily delays around 3,000 on March 27 amid spring break travel surges. After mid-March storms spiked delays above 12,000 with thousands of cancellations, calmer conditions have prevailed, but FAA's March 27 report flags potential high winds disrupting New York (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL) airports. Final weather forecasts, FAA ground delay programs, or intensified TSA bottlenecks could tip volumes higher, while clear skies and managed volumes favor the lower bins. Average daily delays hover near 5,600 per BTS and FlightAware data.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Número de voos dos EUA atrasados em 29 de março?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<6.000" at 44%, followed by ">9.000" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Número de voos dos EUA atrasados em 29 de março?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Número de voos dos EUA atrasados em 29 de março?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Número de voos dos EUA atrasados em 29 de março?" is "<6.000" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is ">9.000" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Número de voos dos EUA atrasados em 29 de março?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.