Traders price a slight edge for over 450 US flight cancellations on March 27 at 53.5%, reflecting competitive balance amid severe weather disruptions across the Northeast and Midwest, where thunderstorms and high winds have already grounded over 300 flights by midday per FAA data. Spring break travel volumes amplify vulnerability, with recent days averaging 200-400 daily cancellations due to similar systems, but historical baselines for Wednesdays hover below 400 absent major events. Tipping factors include intensifying storms forecasted through evening peak hours at hubs like JFK, ORD, and ATL, potentially pushing totals higher, versus clearing conditions or airline recoveries favoring No; real-time tracking from FlightAware and DOT reports will resolve by midnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$21 Vol.
$21 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
$21 Vol.
$21 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 450 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Traders price a slight edge for over 450 US flight cancellations on March 27 at 53.5%, reflecting competitive balance amid severe weather disruptions across the Northeast and Midwest, where thunderstorms and high winds have already grounded over 300 flights by midday per FAA data. Spring break travel volumes amplify vulnerability, with recent days averaging 200-400 daily cancellations due to similar systems, but historical baselines for Wednesdays hover below 400 absent major events. Tipping factors include intensifying storms forecasted through evening peak hours at hubs like JFK, ORD, and ATL, potentially pushing totals higher, versus clearing conditions or airline recoveries favoring No; real-time tracking from FlightAware and DOT reports will resolve by midnight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 450 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Mercado Aberto: Mar 26, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Volume
$21Data de Término
Mar 27, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 450 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Traders price a slight edge for over 450 US flight cancellations on March 27 at 53.5%, reflecting competitive balance amid severe weather disruptions across the Northeast and Midwest, where thunderstorms and high winds have already grounded over 300 flights by midday per FAA data. Spring break travel volumes amplify vulnerability, with recent days averaging 200-400 daily cancellations due to similar systems, but historical baselines for Wednesdays hover below 400 absent major events. Tipping factors include intensifying storms forecasted through evening peak hours at hubs like JFK, ORD, and ATL, potentially pushing totals higher, versus clearing conditions or airline recoveries favoring No; real-time tracking from FlightAware and DOT reports will resolve by midnight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 450 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$21Data de Término
Mar 27, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders price a slight edge for over 450 US flight cancellations on March 27 at 53.5%, reflecting competitive balance amid severe weather disruptions across the Northeast and Midwest, where thunderstorms and high winds have already grounded over 300 flights by midday per FAA data. Spring break travel volumes amplify vulnerability, with recent days averaging 200-400 daily cancellations due to similar systems, but historical baselines for Wednesdays hover below 400 absent major events. Tipping factors include intensifying storms forecasted through evening peak hours at hubs like JFK, ORD, and ATL, potentially pushing totals higher, versus clearing conditions or airline recoveries favoring No; real-time tracking from FlightAware and DOT reports will resolve by midnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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