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Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?

Market icon

Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?

>6,000 67%

5,500-6,000 25%

5,000-5,500 21%

4,500-5,000 12%

Polymarket

$1,157 Vol.

>6,000 67%

5,500-6,000 25%

5,000-5,500 21%

4,500-5,000 12%

Polymarket

$1,157 Vol.

<3,000

$45 Vol.

5%

3,000-3,500

$490 Vol.

2%

3,500-4,000

$243 Vol.

2%

4,000-4,500

$55 Vol.

10%

4,500-5,000

$65 Vol.

12%

5,000-5,500

$100 Vol.

21%

5,500-6,000

$50 Vol.

25%

>6,000

$108 Vol.

67%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus implies a 66.5% probability of over 6,000 US flight delays on March 27, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts for severe thunderstorms across the Southeast and Midwest flight corridors, overlapping peak spring break travel volumes. March 25 saw over 5,500 delays amid similar storms and FAA-mandated ground stops at hubs like Atlanta (ATL) and Dallas (DFW), compounded by chronic air traffic controller shortages that have averaged 1,000+ daily delays nationwide per recent DOT reports. Lower ranges like 5,500-6,000 (24.5%) account for potential storm intensity variations, while sub-5,000 outcomes lag given historical bad-weather precedents exceeding 7,000 delays on BTS-tracked days. Real-time monitoring via FlightAware could adjust sentiment as conditions evolve.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volume
$1,157
Data de Término
Mar 27, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus implies a 66.5% probability of over 6,000 US flight delays on March 27, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts for severe thunderstorms across the Southeast and Midwest flight corridors, overlapping peak spring break travel volumes. March 25 saw over 5,500 delays amid similar storms and FAA-mandated ground stops at hubs like Atlanta (ATL) and Dallas (DFW), compounded by chronic air traffic controller shortages that have averaged 1,000+ daily delays nationwide per recent DOT reports. Lower ranges like 5,500-6,000 (24.5%) account for potential storm intensity variations, while sub-5,000 outcomes lag given historical bad-weather precedents exceeding 7,000 delays on BTS-tracked days. Real-time monitoring via FlightAware could adjust sentiment as conditions evolve.

Trader consensus implies a 66.5% probability of over 6,000 US flight delays on March 27, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts for severe thunderstorms across the Southeast and Midwest flight corridors, overlapping peak spring break travel volumes. March 25 saw over 5,500 delays amid similar storms and FAA-mandated ground stops at hubs like Atlanta (ATL) and Dallas (DFW), compounded by chronic air traffic controller shortages that have averaged 1,000+ daily delays nationwide per recent DOT reports. Lower ranges like 5,500-6,000 (24.5%) account for potential storm intensity variations, while sub-5,000 outcomes lag given historical bad-weather precedents exceeding 7,000 delays on BTS-tracked days. Real-time monitoring via FlightAware could adjust sentiment as conditions evolve.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is ">6,000" at 67%, followed by "5,500-6,000" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" is ">6,000" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5,500-6,000" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.