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Política·Aeroporto

Mais de 500 voos cancelados nos EUA a 30 de março?

Market icon
Política·Aeroporto

Mais de 500 voos cancelados nos EUA a 30 de março?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Sim

49% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Sim

49% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 500 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Ongoing TSA staffing shortages from the partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown have driven widespread security delays at major airports, averaging around 340 daily flight cancellations nationwide amid high spring break travel volume, keeping trader consensus closely balanced at 51.5% for under 500 cancellations on March 30. Post-mid-March storm recovery has normalized operations, with current FlightAware data showing minimal disruptions from localized winds in New York and Philadelphia plus isolated thunderstorms in Chicago and Denver. Tipping toward "Yes" could stem from emerging severe weather systems, escalated TSA sick-outs leading to gate closures, or FAA ground stops; conversely, funding resolution or clear skies across hubs like Atlanta, O'Hare, and LAX would bolster "No" by maintaining low cancellation rates.[[1]](https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/delays)[[2]](https://www.flightaware.com/miserymap)[[3]](https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/faa-daily-air-traffic-report)[[4]](https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/tracking-us-flight-delays-cancellations-160428685.html)

Ongoing TSA staffing shortages from the partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown have driven widespread security delays at major airports, averaging around 340 daily flight cancellations nationwide amid high spring break travel volume, keeping trader consensus closely balanced at 51.5% for under 500 cancellations on March 30. Post-mid-March storm recovery has normalized operations, with current FlightAware data showing minimal disruptions from localized winds in New York and Philadelphia plus isolated thunderstorms in Chicago and Denver. Tipping toward "Yes" could stem from emerging severe weather systems, escalated TSA sick-outs leading to gate closures, or FAA ground stops; conversely, funding resolution or clear skies across hubs like Atlanta, O'Hare, and LAX would bolster "No" by maintaining low cancellation rates.[[1]](https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/delays)[[2]](https://www.flightaware.com/miserymap)[[3]](https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/faa-daily-air-traffic-report)[[4]](https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/tracking-us-flight-delays-cancellations-160428685.html)

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 500 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Ongoing TSA staffing shortages from the partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown have driven widespread security delays at major airports, averaging around 340 daily flight cancellations nationwide amid high spring break travel volume, keeping trader consensus closely balanced at 51.5% for under 500 cancellations on March 30. Post-mid-March storm recovery has normalized operations, with current FlightAware data showing minimal disruptions from localized winds in New York and Philadelphia plus isolated thunderstorms in Chicago and Denver. Tipping toward "Yes" could stem from emerging severe weather systems, escalated TSA sick-outs leading to gate closures, or FAA ground stops; conversely, funding resolution or clear skies across hubs like Atlanta, O'Hare, and LAX would bolster "No" by maintaining low cancellation rates.[[1]](https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/delays)[[2]](https://www.flightaware.com/miserymap)[[3]](https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/faa-daily-air-traffic-report)[[4]](https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/tracking-us-flight-delays-cancellations-160428685.html)

Ongoing TSA staffing shortages from the partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown have driven widespread security delays at major airports, averaging around 340 daily flight cancellations nationwide amid high spring break travel volume, keeping trader consensus closely balanced at 51.5% for under 500 cancellations on March 30. Post-mid-March storm recovery has normalized operations, with current FlightAware data showing minimal disruptions from localized winds in New York and Philadelphia plus isolated thunderstorms in Chicago and Denver. Tipping toward "Yes" could stem from emerging severe weather systems, escalated TSA sick-outs leading to gate closures, or FAA ground stops; conversely, funding resolution or clear skies across hubs like Atlanta, O'Hare, and LAX would bolster "No" by maintaining low cancellation rates.[[1]](https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/delays)[[2]](https://www.flightaware.com/miserymap)[[3]](https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/faa-daily-air-traffic-report)[[4]](https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/tracking-us-flight-delays-cancellations-160428685.html)

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Mais de 500 voos cancelados nos EUA a 30 de março?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mais de 500 voos nos EUA foram cancelados em 30 de março?" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Mais de 500 voos cancelados nos EUA a 30 de março?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Mais de 500 voos cancelados nos EUA a 30 de março?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Mais de 500 voos cancelados nos EUA a 30 de março?" is "Mais de 500 voos nos EUA foram cancelados em 30 de março?" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Mais de 500 voos cancelados nos EUA a 30 de março?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.