Market icon
Política·Trump

Quão atrasado Leavitt estará para a próxima coletiva de imprensa?

Market icon
Política·Trump

Quão atrasado Leavitt estará para a próxima coletiva de imprensa?

<15 minutos 36%

20 - 25 minutos 35%

25 - 30 minutos 34%

30 - 35 minutos 30%

Polymarket
NEW

<15 minutos 36%

20 - 25 minutos 35%

25 - 30 minutos 34%

30 - 35 minutos 30%

Polymarket
NEW

<15 minutos

$2 Vol.

36%

15 - 20 minutos

$10 Vol.

23%

20 - 25 minutos

$0 Vol.

35%

25 - 30 minutos

$0 Vol.

34%

30 - 35 minutos

$0 Vol.

30%

35+ minutos

$0 Vol.

21%

This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's recurring moderate lateness to press briefings, often 15-35 minutes past schedule due to technical issues or last-minute preparations amid pressing issues like the Iran conflict and congressional funding stalemate, drives the tight trader consensus. Recent March 25 briefing, set for 1 p.m. EDT, exemplified this variability while addressing U.S.-Israel military progress and DHS delays from shutdown threats, without a clear outlier delay reported. The close contest among <15 minutes, 20-25 minutes, and 25-30 minutes outcomes reflects historical patterns where no single factor dominates. Urgent presidential schedule changes or glitch-free setups could tip toward on-time arrival or extended postponement.

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's recurring moderate lateness to press briefings, often 15-35 minutes past schedule due to technical issues or last-minute preparations amid pressing issues like the Iran conflict and congressional funding stalemate, drives the tight trader consensus. Recent March 25 briefing, set for 1 p.m. EDT, exemplified this variability while addressing U.S.-Israel military progress and DHS delays from shutdown threats, without a clear outlier delay reported. The close contest among <15 minutes, 20-25 minutes, and 25-30 minutes outcomes reflects historical patterns where no single factor dominates. Urgent presidential schedule changes or glitch-free setups could tip toward on-time arrival or extended postponement.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's recurring moderate lateness to press briefings, often 15-35 minutes past schedule due to technical issues or last-minute preparations amid pressing issues like the Iran conflict and congressional funding stalemate, drives the tight trader consensus. Recent March 25 briefing, set for 1 p.m. EDT, exemplified this variability while addressing U.S.-Israel military progress and DHS delays from shutdown threats, without a clear outlier delay reported. The close contest among <15 minutes, 20-25 minutes, and 25-30 minutes outcomes reflects historical patterns where no single factor dominates. Urgent presidential schedule changes or glitch-free setups could tip toward on-time arrival or extended postponement.

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's recurring moderate lateness to press briefings, often 15-35 minutes past schedule due to technical issues or last-minute preparations amid pressing issues like the Iran conflict and congressional funding stalemate, drives the tight trader consensus. Recent March 25 briefing, set for 1 p.m. EDT, exemplified this variability while addressing U.S.-Israel military progress and DHS delays from shutdown threats, without a clear outlier delay reported. The close contest among <15 minutes, 20-25 minutes, and 25-30 minutes outcomes reflects historical patterns where no single factor dominates. Urgent presidential schedule changes or glitch-free setups could tip toward on-time arrival or extended postponement.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Quão atrasado Leavitt estará para a próxima coletiva de imprensa?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<15 minutos" at 36%, followed by "20 - 25 minutos" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Quão atrasado Leavitt estará para a próxima coletiva de imprensa?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Quão atrasado Leavitt estará para a próxima coletiva de imprensa?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quão atrasado Leavitt estará para a próxima coletiva de imprensa?" is "<15 minutos" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "20 - 25 minutos" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quão atrasado Leavitt estará para a próxima coletiva de imprensa?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.