Progressive Bulgaria (PB) commands overwhelming trader consensus at near-certainty odds to secure the most seats in Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, driven by consistent polling leads of around 30% in recent surveys like Alpha Research's March 29 readout (30.8%) and April 1 averages (29.7%), roughly double GERB-SDS's 21%. This reflects voter fatigue after the eighth vote since 2021, triggered by the December 2025 government resignation amid protests over budget and corruption issues, boosting PB's anti-establishment appeal in the proportional representation system with a 4% threshold for 240 seats. Incumbent GERB-SDS and PP-DB have slipped amid fragmentation. While PB projects a clear plurality, scenarios like a major scandal, strong challenger debate performances, or conservative turnout surges could narrow the gap before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoPB 95.9%
GERB–SDS 3.0%
Velichie <1%
PP–DB <1%
$59,005 Vol.
$59,005 Vol.
19 abr 2026
PB
96%
GERB–SDS
3%
Velichie
<1%
PP–DB
<1%
ITN
<1%
APS
<1%
BSP-Esquerda Unida
<1%
MECH
<1%
Vazrazhdane
<1%
DPS
<1%
PB 95.9%
GERB–SDS 3.0%
Velichie <1%
PP–DB <1%
$59,005 Vol.
$59,005 Vol.
19 abr 2026
PB
$14,910 Vol.
96%
GERB–SDS
$5,985 Vol.
3%
Velichie
$5,349 Vol.
<1%
PP–DB
$6,311 Vol.
<1%
ITN
$4,438 Vol.
<1%
APS
$3,988 Vol.
<1%
BSP-Esquerda Unida
$5,128 Vol.
<1%
MECH
$4,513 Vol.
<1%
Vazrazhdane
$4,131 Vol.
<1%
DPS
$4,252 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB) commands overwhelming trader consensus at near-certainty odds to secure the most seats in Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, driven by consistent polling leads of around 30% in recent surveys like Alpha Research's March 29 readout (30.8%) and April 1 averages (29.7%), roughly double GERB-SDS's 21%. This reflects voter fatigue after the eighth vote since 2021, triggered by the December 2025 government resignation amid protests over budget and corruption issues, boosting PB's anti-establishment appeal in the proportional representation system with a 4% threshold for 240 seats. Incumbent GERB-SDS and PP-DB have slipped amid fragmentation. While PB projects a clear plurality, scenarios like a major scandal, strong challenger debate performances, or conservative turnout surges could narrow the gap before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Mercado Aberto: Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Volume
$59,005Data de Término
19 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB) commands overwhelming trader consensus at near-certainty odds to secure the most seats in Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, driven by consistent polling leads of around 30% in recent surveys like Alpha Research's March 29 readout (30.8%) and April 1 averages (29.7%), roughly double GERB-SDS's 21%. This reflects voter fatigue after the eighth vote since 2021, triggered by the December 2025 government resignation amid protests over budget and corruption issues, boosting PB's anti-establishment appeal in the proportional representation system with a 4% threshold for 240 seats. Incumbent GERB-SDS and PP-DB have slipped amid fragmentation. While PB projects a clear plurality, scenarios like a major scandal, strong challenger debate performances, or conservative turnout surges could narrow the gap before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$59,005Data de Término
19 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Progressive Bulgaria (PB) commands overwhelming trader consensus at near-certainty odds to secure the most seats in Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, driven by consistent polling leads of around 30% in recent surveys like Alpha Research's March 29 readout (30.8%) and April 1 averages (29.7%), roughly double GERB-SDS's 21%. This reflects voter fatigue after the eighth vote since 2021, triggered by the December 2025 government resignation amid protests over budget and corruption issues, boosting PB's anti-establishment appeal in the proportional representation system with a 4% threshold for 240 seats. Incumbent GERB-SDS and PP-DB have slipped amid fragmentation. While PB projects a clear plurality, scenarios like a major scandal, strong challenger debate performances, or conservative turnout surges could narrow the gap before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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