Recent polls conducted on April 1 show Democratic Party of Korea's Chun Jae-soo leading the Busan mayoral race at 43.7% against incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon's 27.1%, a 16.6-point margin that aligns with trader consensus pricing Chun at 73.5% implied probability and Park at 21.5%. This edge persists despite Chun's ongoing Unification Church investigation, as the Democratic Party advanced him to a primary against Lee Jae-sung on March 27, where he is favored amid opposition momentum in traditionally conservative Busan ahead of the June 3 local elections. High undecided voters at nearly 60% leave room for shifts from primaries, campaigns, or scandals, but recent surveys like March's 40%-30% Chun-Park matchup reinforce his frontrunner status, with minor candidates trailing far behind.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição municipal de Busan em 2026
Vencedor da eleição municipal de Busan em 2026
Chun Jae-soo 73%
Park Heong-joon 22%
Cho Kuk 1.2%
Choi In-ho 1.1%
$347,242 Vol.
$347,242 Vol.

Chun Jae-soo
73%

Park Heong-joon
22%

Cho Kuk
1%

Choi In-ho
1%

Cho Kyoung-tae
1%

Lee Jae-sung
1%

Suh Byung-soo
1%

Kim Young-choon
<1%

Hong Soon-heon
<1%

Kim Do-eup
<1%

Park Jae-ho
<1%

Park Seong-hoon
<1%
Chun Jae-soo 73%
Park Heong-joon 22%
Cho Kuk 1.2%
Choi In-ho 1.1%
$347,242 Vol.
$347,242 Vol.

Chun Jae-soo
73%

Park Heong-joon
22%

Cho Kuk
1%

Choi In-ho
1%

Cho Kyoung-tae
1%

Lee Jae-sung
1%

Suh Byung-soo
1%

Kim Young-choon
<1%

Hong Soon-heon
<1%

Kim Do-eup
<1%

Park Jae-ho
<1%

Park Seong-hoon
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls conducted on April 1 show Democratic Party of Korea's Chun Jae-soo leading the Busan mayoral race at 43.7% against incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon's 27.1%, a 16.6-point margin that aligns with trader consensus pricing Chun at 73.5% implied probability and Park at 21.5%. This edge persists despite Chun's ongoing Unification Church investigation, as the Democratic Party advanced him to a primary against Lee Jae-sung on March 27, where he is favored amid opposition momentum in traditionally conservative Busan ahead of the June 3 local elections. High undecided voters at nearly 60% leave room for shifts from primaries, campaigns, or scandals, but recent surveys like March's 40%-30% Chun-Park matchup reinforce his frontrunner status, with minor candidates trailing far behind.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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