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Política·Eleições Globais

Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares da Suécia

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Política·Eleições Globais

Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares da Suécia

Partido Social-Democrata Sueco (S) 89%

Democratas Suecos (SD) 4.8%

Partido Moderado (M) 4.6%

Partido do Centro (C) <1%

Polymarket

$1,066,556 Vol.

Partido Social-Democrata Sueco (S) 89%

Democratas Suecos (SD) 4.8%

Partido Moderado (M) 4.6%

Partido do Centro (C) <1%

Polymarket

$1,066,556 Vol.

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Partido Social-Democrata Sueco (S)

$27,766 Vol.

89%

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Democratas Suecos (SD)

$507,045 Vol.

5%

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Partido Moderado (M)

$374,882 Vol.

5%

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Partido do Centro (C)

$15,711 Vol.

1%

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Partido de Esquerda (V)

$14,016 Vol.

1%

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Democratas Cristãos (KD)

$13,417 Vol.

<1%

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Partido Verde (MP)

$87,706 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Coligação dos Cidadãos (MED)

$12,563 Vol.

<1%

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Liberais (L)

$13,451 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) commands a commanding lead in recent opinion polls for the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election, consistently polling around 33%—roughly double that of nearest rivals Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20-21% and Moderates (M) at 17-18%—projecting 121 seats versus 75 and 65, respectively, in proportional representation with a 4% threshold. This stability across late March polls from Indikator Opinion, Demoskop, Ipsos, and Novus underpins trader consensus implying 89% probability of S securing the most seats. Incumbent Tidö parties (M, KD, L with SD support) trail amid left bloc strength, despite Prime Minister Kristersson's April 1 announcement aiming for a full M-SD majority government post-election. Late shifts remain possible via turnout or scandals ahead of the fixed-date vote.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$1,066,556
Data de Término
13 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) commands a commanding lead in recent opinion polls for the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election, consistently polling around 33%—roughly double that of nearest rivals Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20-21% and Moderates (M) at 17-18%—projecting 121 seats versus 75 and 65, respectively, in proportional representation with a 4% threshold. This stability across late March polls from Indikator Opinion, Demoskop, Ipsos, and Novus underpins trader consensus implying 89% probability of S securing the most seats. Incumbent Tidö parties (M, KD, L with SD support) trail amid left bloc strength, despite Prime Minister Kristersson's April 1 announcement aiming for a full M-SD majority government post-election. Late shifts remain possible via turnout or scandals ahead of the fixed-date vote.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$1,066,556
Data de Término
13 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares da Suécia" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Partido Social-Democrata Sueco (S)" at 89%, followed by "Democratas Suecos (SD)" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares da Suécia" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares da Suécia," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares da Suécia" is "Partido Social-Democrata Sueco (S)" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Democratas Suecos (SD)" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares da Suécia" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.