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Newark Mayoral Election

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Eleições·Eleições Autárquicas

Newark Mayoral Election

Ras Baraka 92%

Sheila Montague 2.6%

Douglas Davis 2.4%

Nasheedah Singleton 2.3%

Polymarket
NOVO

Ras Baraka 92%

Sheila Montague 2.6%

Douglas Davis 2.4%

Nasheedah Singleton 2.3%

Polymarket
NOVO

Ras Baraka

$1,736 Vol.

92%

Sheila Montague

$953 Vol.

3%

Douglas Davis

$637 Vol.

2%

Nasheedah Singleton

$585 Vol.

2%

Noble Milton

$2,662 Vol.

2%

Debra Salters

$662 Vol.

1%

Jhamar Youngblood

$657 Vol.

1%

Tanisha Garner

$680 Vol.

1%

Asha Coates-Hamlet

$596 Vol.

<1%

Louis Shockley

$533 Vol.

<1%

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Newark Mayor Ras Baraka commands 91.5% trader consensus in the nonpartisan May 12 municipal election, driven by his 12-year record of progress in public safety—homicides at 1950s lows—housing enforcement via a new "bad landlords" list, and economic development, as showcased in his March 31 State of the City address. With no term limits and challengers like Douglas Davis and Sheila Montague viewed as minor and fragmented, Baraka holds a clear path absent polls showing otherwise. A recent letter from 12 candidates, including Jhamar Youngblood, requesting U.S. DOJ monitoring for potential fraud and intimidation highlights opposition concerns, though unlikely to shift odds without a major scandal, legal challenge, or turnout surge fracturing his base.

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Volume
$9,702
Data de Término
12 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Newark Mayor Ras Baraka commands 91.5% trader consensus in the nonpartisan May 12 municipal election, driven by his 12-year record of progress in public safety—homicides at 1950s lows—housing enforcement via a new "bad landlords" list, and economic development, as showcased in his March 31 State of the City address. With no term limits and challengers like Douglas Davis and Sheila Montague viewed as minor and fragmented, Baraka holds a clear path absent polls showing otherwise. A recent letter from 12 candidates, including Jhamar Youngblood, requesting U.S. DOJ monitoring for potential fraud and intimidation highlights opposition concerns, though unlikely to shift odds without a major scandal, legal challenge, or turnout surge fracturing his base.

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Volume
$9,702
Data de Término
12 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Newark Mayoral Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ras Baraka" at 92%, followed by "Sheila Montague" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Newark Mayoral Election" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Newark Mayoral Election," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Newark Mayoral Election" is "Ras Baraka" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sheila Montague" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Newark Mayoral Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.