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Newark Mayoral Election

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Eleições·Eleições Autárquicas

Newark Mayoral Election

Ras Baraka 88%

Nasheedah Singleton 2.7%

Douglas Davis 2.6%

Sheila Montague 2.3%

Polymarket

$10,630 Vol.

Ras Baraka 88%

Nasheedah Singleton 2.7%

Douglas Davis 2.6%

Sheila Montague 2.3%

Polymarket

$10,630 Vol.

Ras Baraka

$2,376 Vol.

88%

Nasheedah Singleton

$615 Vol.

3%

Douglas Davis

$667 Vol.

3%

Sheila Montague

$983 Vol.

2%

Jhamar Youngblood

$687 Vol.

2%

Noble Milton

$2,692 Vol.

2%

Debra Salters

$712 Vol.

1%

Tanisha Garner

$710 Vol.

1%

Asha Coates-Hamlet

$626 Vol.

<1%

Louis Shockley

$563 Vol.

<1%

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 88.5% trader consensus in the Newark mayoral race, reflecting his entrenched incumbency advantage after three terms marked by record-low homicide rates since the 1950s and ongoing city development initiatives like new grocery stores. The February 26 filing deadline yielded seven minor challengers—Nasheedah Singleton, Douglas Davis, Sheila Montague, and others—who lack name recognition, funding, or polling traction, positioning Baraka for likely outright victory in the May 12 nonpartisan election, with potential runoff June 9. Recent catalysts include Baraka's April 2 rally touting 12 years of progress and State of the City address, while opponents' request for DOJ election monitors amid fraud fears has not dented his lead. Late scandals or turnout surges could narrow odds, but historical incumbent strength in Newark favors continuity.

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Volume
$10,630
Data de Término
12 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 88.5% trader consensus in the Newark mayoral race, reflecting his entrenched incumbency advantage after three terms marked by record-low homicide rates since the 1950s and ongoing city development initiatives like new grocery stores. The February 26 filing deadline yielded seven minor challengers—Nasheedah Singleton, Douglas Davis, Sheila Montague, and others—who lack name recognition, funding, or polling traction, positioning Baraka for likely outright victory in the May 12 nonpartisan election, with potential runoff June 9. Recent catalysts include Baraka's April 2 rally touting 12 years of progress and State of the City address, while opponents' request for DOJ election monitors amid fraud fears has not dented his lead. Late scandals or turnout surges could narrow odds, but historical incumbent strength in Newark favors continuity.

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Volume
$10,630
Data de Término
12 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Newark Mayoral Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ras Baraka" at 88%, followed by "Nasheedah Singleton" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Newark Mayoral Election" has generated $10.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Newark Mayoral Election," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Newark Mayoral Election" is "Ras Baraka" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nasheedah Singleton" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Newark Mayoral Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.