Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon

Christine Drazan 49%

Ed Diehl 32%

Chris Dudley 15%

Robert Neuman 3.0%

Polymarket

$60,398 Vol.

Christine Drazan 49%

Ed Diehl 32%

Chris Dudley 15%

Robert Neuman 3.0%

Polymarket

$60,398 Vol.

Christine Drazan

$15,705 Vol.

49%

Ed Diehl

$3,241 Vol.

32%

Chris Dudley

$8,425 Vol.

15%

Robert Neuman

$6,305 Vol.

3%

Danielle Bethell

$5,327 Vol.

2%

Chael Sonnen

$9,831 Vol.

<1%

Caleb Kintz

$2,232 Vol.

<1%

Kyle Duyck

$9,332 Vol.

<1%

Brad T. Peters

$0 Vol.

<1%

David Medina

$0 Vol.

<1%

Patrick Kopke-Hales

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Christine Drazan leads Polymarket trader consensus for the Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary at 47.5% implied probability, buoyed by her narrow 2022 general election loss that showcased strong statewide appeal and party infrastructure, alongside recent fundraising nearing $1.5 million as of April 1. Ed Diehl holds second at 30.5%, propelled by his leadership in the No Tax Oregon referendum blocking 2025 transportation tax hikes, energizing anti-tax voters despite lower cash reserves of $156,000. Chris Dudley trails at 15.0% despite topping fundraising at $1.69 million—boosted by Phil Knight's $1 million donation on March 11—reflecting skepticism over his 2010-era name recognition in a fragmented field of 15 candidates. Withdrawals from a planned Salem forum underscore tensions ahead of the Oregon GOP debate on April 16 and May 19 primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$60,398
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Christine Drazan leads Polymarket trader consensus for the Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary at 47.5% implied probability, buoyed by her narrow 2022 general election loss that showcased strong statewide appeal and party infrastructure, alongside recent fundraising nearing $1.5 million as of April 1. Ed Diehl holds second at 30.5%, propelled by his leadership in the No Tax Oregon referendum blocking 2025 transportation tax hikes, energizing anti-tax voters despite lower cash reserves of $156,000. Chris Dudley trails at 15.0% despite topping fundraising at $1.69 million—boosted by Phil Knight's $1 million donation on March 11—reflecting skepticism over his 2010-era name recognition in a fragmented field of 15 candidates. Withdrawals from a planned Salem forum underscore tensions ahead of the Oregon GOP debate on April 16 and May 19 primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$60,398
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Christine Drazan" at 49%, followed by "Ed Diehl" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon" has generated $60.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon" is "Christine Drazan" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ed Diehl" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Oregon" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.