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Política·Nova Zelândia

Eleição Parlamentar das Ilhas Cook: Vencedor Ngatangiia

icon for Eleição Parlamentar das Ilhas Cook: Vencedor Ngatangiia
Política·Nova Zelândia

Eleição Parlamentar das Ilhas Cook: Vencedor Ngatangiia

Tukaka George Tamarua Ama 96.5%

Mapi Ioteva 2.1%

Itinga Maoate <1%

Christopher Robert Denny <1%

Polymarket

$33,759 Vol.

Tukaka George Tamarua Ama 96.5%

Mapi Ioteva 2.1%

Itinga Maoate <1%

Christopher Robert Denny <1%

Polymarket

$33,759 Vol.

Tukaka George Tamarua Ama

$28,723 Vol.

97%

Mapi Ioteva

$3,560 Vol.

2%

Itinga Maoate

$756 Vol.

<1%

Christopher Robert Denny

$721 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.Tukaka George Tamarua Ama holds a commanding position in the Ngatangiia constituency market due to his incumbency as the Cook Islands Party representative since winning the seat in 2022. Preliminary tallies from the August 12, 2026 general election show him ahead with 229 votes against 216 for Mapi Ioteva of the Cook Islands United Party, with other candidates trailing further behind. This edge aligns with the party's broader performance securing multiple seats and reflects trader assessment of his established local support base and campaign focus on constituency issues. The implied probability remains sensitive to final special vote counts, any official declaration delays, or procedural challenges that could narrow or reverse the narrow preliminary margin before results are certified.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.

If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.
Volume
$33,759
Data de Término
12 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 16, 2026, 9:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.Tukaka George Tamarua Ama holds a commanding position in the Ngatangiia constituency market due to his incumbency as the Cook Islands Party representative since winning the seat in 2022. Preliminary tallies from the August 12, 2026 general election show him ahead with 229 votes against 216 for Mapi Ioteva of the Cook Islands United Party, with other candidates trailing further behind. This edge aligns with the party's broader performance securing multiple seats and reflects trader assessment of his established local support base and campaign focus on constituency issues. The implied probability remains sensitive to final special vote counts, any official declaration delays, or procedural challenges that could narrow or reverse the narrow preliminary margin before results are certified.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.

If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.
Volume
$33,759
Data de Término
12 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 16, 2026, 9:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição Parlamentar das Ilhas Cook: Vencedor Ngatangiia" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tukaka George Tamarua Ama" at 97%, followed by "Mapi Ioteva" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eleição Parlamentar das Ilhas Cook: Vencedor Ngatangiia" has generated $33.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eleição Parlamentar das Ilhas Cook: Vencedor Ngatangiia," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição Parlamentar das Ilhas Cook: Vencedor Ngatangiia" is "Tukaka George Tamarua Ama" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mapi Ioteva" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição Parlamentar das Ilhas Cook: Vencedor Ngatangiia" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.