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Política·Nova Zelândia

Próximo Primeiro-Ministro das Ilhas Cook

icon for Próximo Primeiro-Ministro das Ilhas Cook
Política·Nova Zelândia

Próximo Primeiro-Ministro das Ilhas Cook

Mark Brown 96.6%

Teariki Heather 1.4%

Tina Browne <1%

Polymarket

$49,131 Vol.

Mark Brown 96.6%

Teariki Heather 1.4%

Tina Browne <1%

Polymarket

$49,131 Vol.

icon for Mark Brown

Mark Brown

$38,964 Vol.

97%

icon for Teariki Heather

Teariki Heather

$4,496 Vol.

1%

icon for Tina Browne

Tina Browne

$5,670 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mark Brown holds a commanding 96.7% implied probability in the market because his Cook Islands Party secured the largest share of seats in the 12 August 2026 general election, positioning him to form the next government as incumbent Prime Minister. Preliminary tallies show the party on track for a fifth consecutive term, with Brown retaining his own electorate and the results indicating limited voter backlash over recent foreign policy tensions. Opposition figures such as Teariki Heather and Tina Browne trail sharply, reflecting weaker party performances and seat losses. Trader consensus could still shift if final counts or coalition negotiations produce an unexpected majority for another candidate, though the current seat distribution makes such outcomes improbable before official confirmation of the parliamentary makeup.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$49,131
Data de Término
12 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 16, 2026, 9:55 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mark Brown holds a commanding 96.7% implied probability in the market because his Cook Islands Party secured the largest share of seats in the 12 August 2026 general election, positioning him to form the next government as incumbent Prime Minister. Preliminary tallies show the party on track for a fifth consecutive term, with Brown retaining his own electorate and the results indicating limited voter backlash over recent foreign policy tensions. Opposition figures such as Teariki Heather and Tina Browne trail sharply, reflecting weaker party performances and seat losses. Trader consensus could still shift if final counts or coalition negotiations produce an unexpected majority for another candidate, though the current seat distribution makes such outcomes improbable before official confirmation of the parliamentary makeup.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$49,131
Data de Término
12 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 16, 2026, 9:55 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo Primeiro-Ministro das Ilhas Cook" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mark Brown" at 97%, followed by "Teariki Heather" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro das Ilhas Cook" has generated $49.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro das Ilhas Cook," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro das Ilhas Cook" is "Mark Brown" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Teariki Heather" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro das Ilhas Cook" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.