Morena holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the June 2027 Mexican legislative election due to sustained polling advantages of 35-46% voting intention, well ahead of PAN, PRI, and MC. This reflects continuity from its 2024 results, President Claudia Sheinbaum's incumbency, and organizational strength heading into the contest for all 500 Chamber of Deputies seats. Unified internal candidate selection processes alongside allies PVEM and PT, combined with a fragmented opposition lacking broad alliances, reinforce expectations that Morena will secure the largest seat share. Late shifts could still emerge from economic performance, coalition fractures, turnout patterns, or major scandals in the months before the election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição legislativa do México
Vencedor da eleição legislativa do México
Morena 91.1%
PAN 6.4%
PRI 2.2%
MC <1%
$104,465 Vol.
$104,465 Vol.
31 mar 2028
Morena
91%
PAN
6%
PRI
2%
MC
<1%
PT
<1%
PVEM
<1%
Morena 91.1%
PAN 6.4%
PRI 2.2%
MC <1%
$104,465 Vol.
$104,465 Vol.
31 mar 2028
Morena
$56,705 Vol.
91%
PAN
$17,572 Vol.
6%
PRI
$8,542 Vol.
2%
MC
$9,375 Vol.
<1%
PT
$6,129 Vol.
<1%
PVEM
$6,141 Vol.
<1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the June 2027 Mexican legislative election due to sustained polling advantages of 35-46% voting intention, well ahead of PAN, PRI, and MC. This reflects continuity from its 2024 results, President Claudia Sheinbaum's incumbency, and organizational strength heading into the contest for all 500 Chamber of Deputies seats. Unified internal candidate selection processes alongside allies PVEM and PT, combined with a fragmented opposition lacking broad alliances, reinforce expectations that Morena will secure the largest seat share. Late shifts could still emerge from economic performance, coalition fractures, turnout patterns, or major scandals in the months before the election.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$104,465Data de Término
1 abr 2028Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the June 2027 Mexican legislative election due to sustained polling advantages of 35-46% voting intention, well ahead of PAN, PRI, and MC. This reflects continuity from its 2024 results, President Claudia Sheinbaum's incumbency, and organizational strength heading into the contest for all 500 Chamber of Deputies seats. Unified internal candidate selection processes alongside allies PVEM and PT, combined with a fragmented opposition lacking broad alliances, reinforce expectations that Morena will secure the largest seat share. Late shifts could still emerge from economic performance, coalition fractures, turnout patterns, or major scandals in the months before the election.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Volume
$104,465Data de Término
1 abr 2028Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the June 2027 Mexican legislative election due to sustained polling advantages of 35-46% voting intention, well ahead of PAN, PRI, and MC. This reflects continuity from its 2024 results, President Claudia Sheinbaum's incumbency, and organizational strength heading into the contest for all 500 Chamber of Deputies seats. Unified internal candidate selection processes alongside allies PVEM and PT, combined with a fragmented opposition lacking broad alliances, reinforce expectations that Morena will secure the largest seat share. Late shifts could still emerge from economic performance, coalition fractures, turnout patterns, or major scandals in the months before the election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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