Market icon
Política·Trump

NJ-11 Vencedor da Eleição Especial

Market icon
Política·Trump

NJ-11 Vencedor da Eleição Especial

Analilia Mejia 93.1%

Alan Bond 2.1%

Joe Hathaway 1.2%

Polymarket
NOVO

Analilia Mejia 93.1%

Alan Bond 2.1%

Joe Hathaway 1.2%

Polymarket
NOVO

Analilia Mejia

$1,710 Vol.

93%

Alan Bond

$1,151 Vol.

2%

Joe Hathaway

$0 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for New Jersey's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election is scheduled to take place April 16, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.nj.gov/state/.Analilia Mejia's commanding trader consensus at 93% stems from her double-digit leads in the sole recent poll (53%-36% over Joe Hathaway, March 8–10 GBAO of 500 likely voters) in a district Kamala Harris carried by nine points and Joe Biden by 17, reflecting Democratic registration edges (230,000 Democrats vs. 165,000 Republicans). After upsetting ex-Rep. Tom Malinowski in the February 5 Democratic primary (29%-28%), Mejia consolidated party support ahead of the April 16 special election to replace Gov. Mikie Sherrill. The April 1 debate sparred over Trump policies, Israel aid, and immigration but drew no post-event polling shifts, with independent Alan Bond polling negligibly. Low Democratic turnout, a Mejia scandal, or Hathaway surges on local issues could challenge, though traders dismiss realistic paths.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for New Jersey's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election is scheduled to take place April 16, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.nj.gov/state/.
Volume
$2,861
Data de Término
16 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for New Jersey's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election is scheduled to take place April 16, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.nj.gov/state/.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for New Jersey's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election is scheduled to take place April 16, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.nj.gov/state/.Analilia Mejia's commanding trader consensus at 93% stems from her double-digit leads in the sole recent poll (53%-36% over Joe Hathaway, March 8–10 GBAO of 500 likely voters) in a district Kamala Harris carried by nine points and Joe Biden by 17, reflecting Democratic registration edges (230,000 Democrats vs. 165,000 Republicans). After upsetting ex-Rep. Tom Malinowski in the February 5 Democratic primary (29%-28%), Mejia consolidated party support ahead of the April 16 special election to replace Gov. Mikie Sherrill. The April 1 debate sparred over Trump policies, Israel aid, and immigration but drew no post-event polling shifts, with independent Alan Bond polling negligibly. Low Democratic turnout, a Mejia scandal, or Hathaway surges on local issues could challenge, though traders dismiss realistic paths.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for New Jersey's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election is scheduled to take place April 16, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.nj.gov/state/.
Volume
$2,861
Data de Término
16 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for New Jersey's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election is scheduled to take place April 16, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.nj.gov/state/.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NJ-11 Vencedor da Eleição Especial" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Analilia Mejia" at 93%, followed by "Joe Hathaway" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NJ-11 Vencedor da Eleição Especial" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NJ-11 Vencedor da Eleição Especial," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NJ-11 Vencedor da Eleição Especial" is "Analilia Mejia" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Joe Hathaway" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NJ-11 Vencedor da Eleição Especial" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.