The NC-03 contest features incumbent Republican Greg Murphy seeking reelection against Democratic nominee Raymond Smith Jr. in the November 3 general election. The district’s partisan composition, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+6 and consistent Solid Republican ratings from major forecasters, underpins the market’s strong preference for the Republican outcome. Murphy’s established fundraising and absence of a contested primary reinforced his position, while Democrats’ March primary produced a nominee without prior statewide profile or significant resources. No major developments have altered the race since the primaries, leaving structural factors and historical voting patterns as the dominant drivers of trader consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNC-03 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
NC-03 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$18,697 Vol.
$18,697 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
86%
Partido Democrata
13%
$18,697 Vol.
$18,697 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$14,068 Vol.
86%
Partido Democrata
$4,628 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NC-03 contest features incumbent Republican Greg Murphy seeking reelection against Democratic nominee Raymond Smith Jr. in the November 3 general election. The district’s partisan composition, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+6 and consistent Solid Republican ratings from major forecasters, underpins the market’s strong preference for the Republican outcome. Murphy’s established fundraising and absence of a contested primary reinforced his position, while Democrats’ March primary produced a nominee without prior statewide profile or significant resources. No major developments have altered the race since the primaries, leaving structural factors and historical voting patterns as the dominant drivers of trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$18,697Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NC-03 contest features incumbent Republican Greg Murphy seeking reelection against Democratic nominee Raymond Smith Jr. in the November 3 general election. The district’s partisan composition, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+6 and consistent Solid Republican ratings from major forecasters, underpins the market’s strong preference for the Republican outcome. Murphy’s established fundraising and absence of a contested primary reinforced his position, while Democrats’ March primary produced a nominee without prior statewide profile or significant resources. No major developments have altered the race since the primaries, leaving structural factors and historical voting patterns as the dominant drivers of trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,697Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The NC-03 contest features incumbent Republican Greg Murphy seeking reelection against Democratic nominee Raymond Smith Jr. in the November 3 general election. The district’s partisan composition, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+6 and consistent Solid Republican ratings from major forecasters, underpins the market’s strong preference for the Republican outcome. Murphy’s established fundraising and absence of a contested primary reinforced his position, while Democrats’ March primary produced a nominee without prior statewide profile or significant resources. No major developments have altered the race since the primaries, leaving structural factors and historical voting patterns as the dominant drivers of trader consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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