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Eleições·Primárias

GA-08 Vencedor das Primárias Republicanas

Market icon
Eleições·Primárias

GA-08 Vencedor das Primárias Republicanas

NOVO
Polymarket
NOVO

Austin Scott

$2,448 Vol.

94%

Vinson Watkins

$0 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Austin Scott's commanding 93.5% implied probability in the GA-08 Republican primary reflects his entrenched position as the district's representative since 2011, bolstered by superior fundraising—over $600,000 raised compared to Vinson Watkins' under $10,000—and minimal opposition in this safely Republican rural South Georgia seat. Recent candidate qualifying on March 7 confirmed Scott faces only the low-profile challenger Watkins, with no major endorsements, polls, or controversies shifting sentiment in the past month. Traders price in incumbency advantages and historical primary dominance, leaving slim odds for Watkins. Scenarios like a late scandal, health issue for Scott, or surprise voter turnout could challenge this, though qualifying deadlines limit new entrants ahead of the May 19 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$2,448
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 26, 2026, 5:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Austin Scott's commanding 93.5% implied probability in the GA-08 Republican primary reflects his entrenched position as the district's representative since 2011, bolstered by superior fundraising—over $600,000 raised compared to Vinson Watkins' under $10,000—and minimal opposition in this safely Republican rural South Georgia seat. Recent candidate qualifying on March 7 confirmed Scott faces only the low-profile challenger Watkins, with no major endorsements, polls, or controversies shifting sentiment in the past month. Traders price in incumbency advantages and historical primary dominance, leaving slim odds for Watkins. Scenarios like a late scandal, health issue for Scott, or surprise voter turnout could challenge this, though qualifying deadlines limit new entrants ahead of the May 19 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$2,448
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 26, 2026, 5:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"GA-08 Vencedor das Primárias Republicanas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Austin Scott" at 94%, followed by "Vinson Watkins" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"GA-08 Vencedor das Primárias Republicanas" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "GA-08 Vencedor das Primárias Republicanas," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GA-08 Vencedor das Primárias Republicanas" is "Austin Scott" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Vinson Watkins" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GA-08 Vencedor das Primárias Republicanas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.