Incumbent Mike Thompson, a longtime moderate Democrat representing the strongly Democratic northern California district encompassing Napa and Sonoma wine country along with Sacramento suburbs, faces a top-two primary on June 2 under California's jungle primary system. Well-funded challenger Eric Jones, who has spent millions and drawn endorsements such as from Bernie Sanders, has emerged as the primary intra-party threat, while six Republicans and one independent candidate compete with far less financial support. Thompson's decades of incumbency and the district's partisan lean have shaped trader views on likely advancers, with the filing deadline passed in March and the vote just days away offering little time for late shifts in momentum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$34,388 Vol.
Mike Thompson
93%
Eric Jones
90%
Laurie MacKenzie
4%
John Wesley Tyler
3%
Heath Fulkerson
2%
Sharon Brown
1%
Trevor Merrell
1%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
$34,388 Vol.
Mike Thompson
93%
Eric Jones
90%
Laurie MacKenzie
4%
John Wesley Tyler
3%
Heath Fulkerson
2%
Sharon Brown
1%
Trevor Merrell
1%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Mike Thompson, a longtime moderate Democrat representing the strongly Democratic northern California district encompassing Napa and Sonoma wine country along with Sacramento suburbs, faces a top-two primary on June 2 under California's jungle primary system. Well-funded challenger Eric Jones, who has spent millions and drawn endorsements such as from Bernie Sanders, has emerged as the primary intra-party threat, while six Republicans and one independent candidate compete with far less financial support. Thompson's decades of incumbency and the district's partisan lean have shaped trader views on likely advancers, with the filing deadline passed in March and the vote just days away offering little time for late shifts in momentum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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