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Eleições·MIDTERMS

Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12

Market icon
Eleições·MIDTERMS

Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12

Adam Hamawy 30%

Adrian Mapp 25.2%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 25%

Brad Cohen 24%

Polymarket

$18,055 Vol.

Adam Hamawy 30%

Adrian Mapp 25.2%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 25%

Brad Cohen 24%

Polymarket

$18,055 Vol.

Adam Hamawy

$472 Vol.

30%

Adrian Mapp

$0 Vol.

25%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson

$0 Vol.

27%

Brad Cohen

$776 Vol.

30%

Susan Altman

$14,124 Vol.

20%

Matthew Adams

$0 Vol.

4%

Elijah Dixon

$0 Vol.

3%

Kyle Little

$0 Vol.

2%

Raymond Heck

$778 Vol.

2%

Michael Anderson

$1,904 Vol.

1%

Tennille R. McCoy

$0 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open-seat Democratic primary for New Jersey's 12th Congressional District on June 2, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field divided by county party endorsements, with no public polls to consolidate support among local heavyweights. East Brunswick Mayor Brad Cohen gained an edge from Middlesex Democrats' March endorsement, while Plainfield Mayor Adrian Mapp holds Union County backing, Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson secured Mercer County's nod in February, and Army veteran surgeon Adam Hamawy leads fundraising with nearly $550,000 raised in Q1 plus Justice Democrats support. This balance keeps the top four clustered near 30%, but further endorsements from national figures, unions, or Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's network, leaked internals, or debates could create separation ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$18,055
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open-seat Democratic primary for New Jersey's 12th Congressional District on June 2, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field divided by county party endorsements, with no public polls to consolidate support among local heavyweights. East Brunswick Mayor Brad Cohen gained an edge from Middlesex Democrats' March endorsement, while Plainfield Mayor Adrian Mapp holds Union County backing, Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson secured Mercer County's nod in February, and Army veteran surgeon Adam Hamawy leads fundraising with nearly $550,000 raised in Q1 plus Justice Democrats support. This balance keeps the top four clustered near 30%, but further endorsements from national figures, unions, or Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's network, leaked internals, or debates could create separation ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$18,055
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Adam Hamawy" at 30%, followed by "Brad Cohen" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12" has generated $18.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12" is "Adam Hamawy" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Brad Cohen" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.