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Eleições·Primária Da Dakota Do Sul

SD-AL Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

icon for SD-AL Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas
Eleições·Primária Da Dakota Do Sul

SD-AL Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Nikki Gronli 97.0%

Scott Schlagel 1.9%

Billy Mawhiney 1.7%

Polymarket

$11,487 Vol.

Nikki Gronli 97.0%

Scott Schlagel 1.9%

Billy Mawhiney 1.7%

Polymarket

$11,487 Vol.

Nikki Gronli

$2,072 Vol.

97%

Scott Schlagel

$5,005 Vol.

2%

Billy Mawhiney

$4,410 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Nikki Gronli’s commanding position in the South Dakota at-large Democratic primary reflects her prior role as state director for USDA Rural Development, experience as South Dakota Democratic Party vice chair, and early September 2025 campaign launch that drew immediate party attention. Billy Mawhiney’s February 2026 withdrawal removed the only other active contender, while Scott Schlagel has shown minimal campaign activity ahead of the June 2 primary. Trader consensus at 97 percent for Gronli aligns with these developments, though the outcome could still shift if unexpected late endorsements, ballot issues, or renewed opposition emerge before voting concludes.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$11,487
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Nikki Gronli’s commanding position in the South Dakota at-large Democratic primary reflects her prior role as state director for USDA Rural Development, experience as South Dakota Democratic Party vice chair, and early September 2025 campaign launch that drew immediate party attention. Billy Mawhiney’s February 2026 withdrawal removed the only other active contender, while Scott Schlagel has shown minimal campaign activity ahead of the June 2 primary. Trader consensus at 97 percent for Gronli aligns with these developments, though the outcome could still shift if unexpected late endorsements, ballot issues, or renewed opposition emerge before voting concludes.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$11,487
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"SD-AL Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nikki Gronli" at 97%, followed by "Scott Schlagel" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "SD-AL Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" has generated $11.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "SD-AL Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SD-AL Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is "Nikki Gronli" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Scott Schlagel" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SD-AL Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.