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Eleições·Primária Da Dakota Do Sul

SD-AL Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

icon for SD-AL Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas
Eleições·Primária Da Dakota Do Sul

SD-AL Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Nikki Gronli 97.0%

Billy Mawhiney 2.0%

Scott Schlagel 1.7%

Polymarket

$11,467 Vol.

Nikki Gronli 97.0%

Billy Mawhiney 2.0%

Scott Schlagel 1.7%

Polymarket

$11,467 Vol.

Nikki Gronli

$2,072 Vol.

97%

Billy Mawhiney

$4,410 Vol.

2%

Scott Schlagel

$4,986 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Nikki Gronli holds a commanding lead in the South Dakota At-Large Democratic primary contest as the sole remaining qualified candidate following the withdrawals of Billy Mawhiney in February 2026 and Scott Schlagel. Her early fundraising advantage and prior role as state director for USDA Rural Development positioned her strongly after filing in September 2025. With the June 2 primary canceled due to lack of opposition, trader consensus at 97.5% reflects her automatic advancement to the general election ballot. Limited residual uncertainty stems from any late procedural challenges or unexpected developments before final certification.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$11,467
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Nikki Gronli holds a commanding lead in the South Dakota At-Large Democratic primary contest as the sole remaining qualified candidate following the withdrawals of Billy Mawhiney in February 2026 and Scott Schlagel. Her early fundraising advantage and prior role as state director for USDA Rural Development positioned her strongly after filing in September 2025. With the June 2 primary canceled due to lack of opposition, trader consensus at 97.5% reflects her automatic advancement to the general election ballot. Limited residual uncertainty stems from any late procedural challenges or unexpected developments before final certification.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$11,467
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"SD-AL Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nikki Gronli" at 97%, followed by "Billy Mawhiney" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "SD-AL Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" has generated $11.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "SD-AL Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SD-AL Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is "Nikki Gronli" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Billy Mawhiney" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SD-AL Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.