Market icon
Política·Senado Do Texas

Participação no segundo turno das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas

Market icon
Política·Senado Do Texas

Participação no segundo turno das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas

0,6–0,9M 48%

1,2–1,5M 31%

2,4–2,7M 24.0%

2,1–2,4M 21%

Polymarket
NOVO

0,6–0,9M 48%

1,2–1,5M 31%

2,4–2,7M 24.0%

2,1–2,4M 21%

Polymarket
NOVO

<0,6M

$0 Vol.

13%

0,6–0,9M

$0 Vol.

37%

0,9–1,2M

$379 Vol.

21%

1,2–1,5M

$3,693 Vol.

31%

1,5–1,8M

$0 Vol.

19%

1,8–2,1 milhões

$38 Vol.

19%

2,1–2,4M

$0 Vol.

21%

2,4–2,7M

$124 Vol.

15%

2,7M+

$0 Vol.

20%

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus prices turnout in the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff at 37% for 0.6–0.9 million voters and 31% for 1.2–1.5 million, reflecting historical patterns of sharp declines—often 40–70% drops—from the March 3 primary's record GOP turnout exceeding 1.2 million, driven by voter fatigue after a high-engagement first round pitting incumbent Sen. John Cornyn against Attorney General Ken Paxton. The tight clustering underscores uncertainty over base mobilization in this polarized contest, with Paxton's recent polling edge (53–37%) offset by uneven enthusiasm among establishment and conservative voting blocs. Separation could emerge from a Trump endorsement, intensified get-out-the-vote operations ahead of the April 27 registration deadline, or early voting trends starting May 18, amid potential dilution from other statewide runoffs.

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$4,233
Data de Término
26 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus prices turnout in the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff at 37% for 0.6–0.9 million voters and 31% for 1.2–1.5 million, reflecting historical patterns of sharp declines—often 40–70% drops—from the March 3 primary's record GOP turnout exceeding 1.2 million, driven by voter fatigue after a high-engagement first round pitting incumbent Sen. John Cornyn against Attorney General Ken Paxton. The tight clustering underscores uncertainty over base mobilization in this polarized contest, with Paxton's recent polling edge (53–37%) offset by uneven enthusiasm among establishment and conservative voting blocs. Separation could emerge from a Trump endorsement, intensified get-out-the-vote operations ahead of the April 27 registration deadline, or early voting trends starting May 18, amid potential dilution from other statewide runoffs.

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$4,233
Data de Término
26 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Participação no segundo turno das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "0,6–0,9M" at 37%, followed by "1,2–1,5M" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Participação no segundo turno das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Participação no segundo turno das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Participação no segundo turno das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas" is "0,6–0,9M" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1,2–1,5M" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Participação no segundo turno das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.