Recent polling averages place the Texas U.S. Senate race in a virtual dead heat, reflecting deep demographic splits where voters under 50 favor Democrat James Talarico while those over 50 back Republican Ken Paxton. Talarico’s strong performance among independents, moderates, and women, combined with superior fundraising, has kept the contest competitive in a state that last elected a Democratic senator in 1988. Paxton consolidated Republican support after defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the May primary runoff but shows some weakness among GOP voters in surveys. Recent endorsements from the Texas congressional delegation and a narrow Emerson poll showing Paxton slightly ahead highlight ongoing consolidation efforts. With the November election approaching, further shifts in turnout among key blocs or late campaign events could widen the margin in either direction.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para o Senado do Texas
Vencedor da eleição para o Senado do Texas
$832,075 Vol.
$832,075 Vol.
3 nov 2026
James Talarico (D)
52%
Ken Paxton (R)
49%
$832,075 Vol.
$832,075 Vol.
3 nov 2026
James Talarico (D)
$397,840 Vol.
52%
Ken Paxton (R)
$434,235 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages place the Texas U.S. Senate race in a virtual dead heat, reflecting deep demographic splits where voters under 50 favor Democrat James Talarico while those over 50 back Republican Ken Paxton. Talarico’s strong performance among independents, moderates, and women, combined with superior fundraising, has kept the contest competitive in a state that last elected a Democratic senator in 1988. Paxton consolidated Republican support after defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the May primary runoff but shows some weakness among GOP voters in surveys. Recent endorsements from the Texas congressional delegation and a narrow Emerson poll showing Paxton slightly ahead highlight ongoing consolidation efforts. With the November election approaching, further shifts in turnout among key blocs or late campaign events could widen the margin in either direction.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Volume
$832,075Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages place the Texas U.S. Senate race in a virtual dead heat, reflecting deep demographic splits where voters under 50 favor Democrat James Talarico while those over 50 back Republican Ken Paxton. Talarico’s strong performance among independents, moderates, and women, combined with superior fundraising, has kept the contest competitive in a state that last elected a Democratic senator in 1988. Paxton consolidated Republican support after defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the May primary runoff but shows some weakness among GOP voters in surveys. Recent endorsements from the Texas congressional delegation and a narrow Emerson poll showing Paxton slightly ahead highlight ongoing consolidation efforts. With the November election approaching, further shifts in turnout among key blocs or late campaign events could widen the margin in either direction.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$832,075Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages place the Texas U.S. Senate race in a virtual dead heat, reflecting deep demographic splits where voters under 50 favor Democrat James Talarico while those over 50 back Republican Ken Paxton. Talarico’s strong performance among independents, moderates, and women, combined with superior fundraising, has kept the contest competitive in a state that last elected a Democratic senator in 1988. Paxton consolidated Republican support after defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the May primary runoff but shows some weakness among GOP voters in surveys. Recent endorsements from the Texas congressional delegation and a narrow Emerson poll showing Paxton slightly ahead highlight ongoing consolidation efforts. With the November election approaching, further shifts in turnout among key blocs or late campaign events could widen the margin in either direction.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions