Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch holds a slim 51% implied probability as trader consensus favorite in the MA-08 Democratic primary on September 1, buoyed by his long tenure, dominant cash on hand exceeding $1.1 million, a February Workbench Strategy poll showing him ahead 62%-36%, and a March 25 endorsement from the North Atlantic States Regional Council of Carpenters. Challenger Patrick Roath, at 40%, has narrowed the gap through superior fundraising ($600K raised), backing from former Gov. Deval Patrick and David Hogg's Leaders We Deserve, and a mid-March surge amid unverified rumors about Lynch's health that tightened odds despite the incumbent's public appearances. Andrew Zylberfink trails at 4.5% following his withdrawal.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoMA-08 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas
MA-08 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas
Patrick Roath 42%
Andrew Zylberfink 4.7%
Stephen Lynch 0
Patrick Roath
42%
Andrew Zylberfink
5%
Stephen Lynch
51%
Patrick Roath 42%
Andrew Zylberfink 4.7%
Stephen Lynch 0
Patrick Roath
42%
Andrew Zylberfink
5%
Stephen Lynch
51%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch holds a slim 51% implied probability as trader consensus favorite in the MA-08 Democratic primary on September 1, buoyed by his long tenure, dominant cash on hand exceeding $1.1 million, a February Workbench Strategy poll showing him ahead 62%-36%, and a March 25 endorsement from the North Atlantic States Regional Council of Carpenters. Challenger Patrick Roath, at 40%, has narrowed the gap through superior fundraising ($600K raised), backing from former Gov. Deval Patrick and David Hogg's Leaders We Deserve, and a mid-March surge amid unverified rumors about Lynch's health that tightened odds despite the incumbent's public appearances. Andrew Zylberfink trails at 4.5% following his withdrawal.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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