South Carolina's 4th congressional district, an upstate area including parts of Greenville and Spartanburg counties, maintains a strong Republican lean reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and consistent GOP victories. Incumbent Republican William Timmons, first elected in 2018 and re-elected in 2024 with nearly 60% of the vote, seeks another term ahead of the June 9 Republican primary and November 3 general election. Multiple Republican primary challengers have entered the race, yet no Democratic candidate has emerged with significant visibility or resources. Election forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that the party's nominee will prevail in the general election absent major shifts before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSC-04 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$12,490 Vol.
$12,490 Vol.
Partido Republicano
86%
Partido Democrata
11%
$12,490 Vol.
$12,490 Vol.
Partido Republicano
86%
Partido Democrata
11%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 4th congressional district, an upstate area including parts of Greenville and Spartanburg counties, maintains a strong Republican lean reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and consistent GOP victories. Incumbent Republican William Timmons, first elected in 2018 and re-elected in 2024 with nearly 60% of the vote, seeks another term ahead of the June 9 Republican primary and November 3 general election. Multiple Republican primary challengers have entered the race, yet no Democratic candidate has emerged with significant visibility or resources. Election forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that the party's nominee will prevail in the general election absent major shifts before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions