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icon for FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Política·Florida

FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Política·Florida

FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Amanda Green 100.0%

Yen Bailey <1%

Brice Barnes <1%

Nic Zateslo <1%

Polymarket

$77,813 Vol.

Amanda Green 100.0%

Yen Bailey <1%

Brice Barnes <1%

Nic Zateslo <1%

Polymarket

$77,813 Vol.

Yen Bailey

$33,001 Vol.

Não

Brice Barnes

$9,759 Vol.

Não

Amanda Green

$19,149 Vol.

Sim

Nic Zateslo

$15,904 Vol.

Não

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Amanda Green secured the Democratic nomination for Florida's 2nd Congressional District in the August 18, 2026 primary, driving the market's 100% consensus. Multiple candidates competed, including Yen Bailey, Brice Barnes, and Nicholas Zateslo, yet Green prevailed with superior fundraising, including over $348,000 in receipts, and stronger campaign infrastructure across North Florida. Recent vote tallies and Associated Press calls confirmed the outcome with no immediate disputes reported. Trader pricing aligns with these verified primary results. Lingering uncertainty remains minimal, though formal certification by state officials or an unforeseen recount in a narrow margin could theoretically alter the path before general election ballot finalization.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$77,813
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 26, 2026, 4:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Amanda Green secured the Democratic nomination for Florida's 2nd Congressional District in the August 18, 2026 primary, driving the market's 100% consensus. Multiple candidates competed, including Yen Bailey, Brice Barnes, and Nicholas Zateslo, yet Green prevailed with superior fundraising, including over $348,000 in receipts, and stronger campaign infrastructure across North Florida. Recent vote tallies and Associated Press calls confirmed the outcome with no immediate disputes reported. Trader pricing aligns with these verified primary results. Lingering uncertainty remains minimal, though formal certification by state officials or an unforeseen recount in a narrow margin could theoretically alter the path before general election ballot finalization.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$77,813
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 26, 2026, 4:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Amanda Green" at 100%, followed by "Yen Bailey" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $77.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Amanda Green" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Yen Bailey" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.