Iowa's 4th congressional district remains a longstanding Republican stronghold covering much of northwest Iowa, including Sioux City and Ames. The open seat follows incumbent Randy Feenstra's unsuccessful 2026 gubernatorial bid, which he lost in the June Republican primary. Chris McGowan, president of the Siouxland Chamber of Commerce, secured the GOP nomination unopposed and received a Trump endorsement, while former state representative Dave Dawson won the Democratic primary. These developments, combined with the district's consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles, underpin trader consensus around a strong Republican outcome in the November general election. Factors that could alter the trajectory include late-cycle national shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout in this low-competition environment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIA-04 Vencedor da eleição da casa
IA-04 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$32,156 Vol.
$32,156 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Democrata
7%
$32,156 Vol.
$32,156 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$20,064 Vol.
93%
Partido Democrata
$12,091 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 4th congressional district remains a longstanding Republican stronghold covering much of northwest Iowa, including Sioux City and Ames. The open seat follows incumbent Randy Feenstra's unsuccessful 2026 gubernatorial bid, which he lost in the June Republican primary. Chris McGowan, president of the Siouxland Chamber of Commerce, secured the GOP nomination unopposed and received a Trump endorsement, while former state representative Dave Dawson won the Democratic primary. These developments, combined with the district's consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles, underpin trader consensus around a strong Republican outcome in the November general election. Factors that could alter the trajectory include late-cycle national shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$32,156Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 4th congressional district remains a longstanding Republican stronghold covering much of northwest Iowa, including Sioux City and Ames. The open seat follows incumbent Randy Feenstra's unsuccessful 2026 gubernatorial bid, which he lost in the June Republican primary. Chris McGowan, president of the Siouxland Chamber of Commerce, secured the GOP nomination unopposed and received a Trump endorsement, while former state representative Dave Dawson won the Democratic primary. These developments, combined with the district's consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles, underpin trader consensus around a strong Republican outcome in the November general election. Factors that could alter the trajectory include late-cycle national shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,156Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's 4th congressional district remains a longstanding Republican stronghold covering much of northwest Iowa, including Sioux City and Ames. The open seat follows incumbent Randy Feenstra's unsuccessful 2026 gubernatorial bid, which he lost in the June Republican primary. Chris McGowan, president of the Siouxland Chamber of Commerce, secured the GOP nomination unopposed and received a Trump endorsement, while former state representative Dave Dawson won the Democratic primary. These developments, combined with the district's consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles, underpin trader consensus around a strong Republican outcome in the November general election. Factors that could alter the trajectory include late-cycle national shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout in this low-competition environment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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